 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$12 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 26¢ | 100¢ | +$14 |
 GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$11 |
 Will "Alien" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)Mentions | NoResolved | $5 | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $5 | 6.3¢ | 2.1¢ | -$3 |
 Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?Tech | Yes | $5 | 40¢ | 13¢ | -$3 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $10 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?Finance | UpResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will China record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Olympics | NoResolved | $5 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $10 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Spain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Olympics | NoResolved | $5 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $4 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $10 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Opinion launch a token on March 4?Crypto | YesResolved | $3 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?Crypto | NoResolved | $10 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. CzechiaHockey (other) | CzechiaResolved | $2 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $20 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 US strikes Iraq by February 28?Politics | NoResolved | $38 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
 Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Spain record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Olympics | NoResolved | $5 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $10 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Cashed out No · Will Trump talk to Roger Goodell in February?$144mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Trump talk to Kevin Warsh in February?$184mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Trump talk to Kevin Hassett in February?$244mo ago