← Whale Watch

Jimmybear

Predicting since Feb 2026635 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $7.2K on Politics markets since Feb 2026.

Biggest hit: +$1.9K on US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$115.3¢7.5¢+$5
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsYes$153.8¢2.6¢-$5
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$142.7¢1.7¢-$5
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?PoliticsYes$10.5¢2.6¢+$4
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?TechYes$214¢18¢+$1
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$10.8¢3.1¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-11 House seat?PoliticsYes$523¢11¢-$3
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$234¢41¢+$0
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on March 4?CryptoYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?eSportsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$02.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will a contestant numbered 176 - 200 win Beast Games: Season 2?CultureYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$02.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will DtMF by Bad Bunny be the Billboard #1 song for the week of March 7?CultureYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?PoliticsNoResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$02.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?PoliticsNoResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$81.6¢0.0¢-$8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1410.0¢0.0¢-$14
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?PoliticsYesResolved$15.5¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?FinanceYesResolved$01.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$01.7¢0.0¢-$0
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on March 7?CryptoYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in February?EconomyYesResolved$01.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on March 9?FinanceYesResolved$08.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$04.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$02.9¢0.0¢-$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?PoliticsYesResolved$06.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 24?CryptoNoResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 11?WeatherYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?PoliticsYesResolved$63.7¢0.0¢-$6
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 1?WeatherYesResolved$01.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$181.8¢0.0¢-$18
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Texas Longhorns (W)Basketball (other)Georgia BulldogsResolved$210.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?PoliticsYesResolved$07.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$04.0¢0.0¢-$0
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?PoliticsYesResolved$02.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on March 1?CryptoYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$02.4¢0.0¢-$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$18.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$06.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$126.6¢0.0¢-$12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$161.1¢0.0¢-$16
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?PoliticsYesResolved$16.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$112.0¢0.0¢-$11
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of February?FinanceNoResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?PoliticsYesResolved$00.7¢0.0¢-$0
Israel closes its airspace by July 7?PoliticsYesResolved$130.4¢0.0¢-$13
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?PoliticsYesResolved$00.9¢0.0¢-$0
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$01.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will "Sinners" win 10 or more awards at the Oscars?CultureYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
US forces enter Iran by March 14?PoliticsYesResolved$02.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$222¢0.0¢-$2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2?CryptoNoResolved$02.5¢0.0¢-$0
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$02.2¢0.0¢-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?PoliticsYesResolved$00.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Opalite by Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 song for the week of March 7?CultureYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 9?WeatherYesResolved$02.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?PoliticsYesResolved$010¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on February 26?WeatherYesResolved$06.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 10?CryptoYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will Derrick Gallego be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?PoliticsYesResolved$12.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will a contestant numbered 101 - 125 win Beast Games: Season 2?CultureYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$02.5¢0.0¢-$0
Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)La LigaElche CFResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$01.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will a contestant numbered 76 - 100 win Beast Games: Season 2?CultureYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?WeatherYesResolved$01.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 1?WeatherYesResolved$04.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on March 5?CryptoYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$210.3¢0.0¢-$21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 1?WeatherYesResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$15.9¢0.0¢-$1
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?PoliticsYesResolved$01.9¢0.0¢-$0
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$216¢0.0¢-$2
Iran leadership change by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$216¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$7.2K
Culture+$24
Crypto+$24
World Cup+$21
Tech+$14
Finance+$9
Economy-$6
Weather-$4
Champions League+$2
College Hoops-$2
Basketball (other)-$2
eSports-$1
Biggest hit
+$1.9K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$46h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$106h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 27?$111h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?$111h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 27?$012h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 27?$012h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 27?$012h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 27?$012h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 27?$212h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 27?$312h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 27?$212h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 27?$013h ago