Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 83¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 13¢ | 7.5¢ | -$4 |
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Susie Wiles be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Politics | NoResolved | $21 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Scott Bessent be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
ICE shooter charged by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Trump out as President in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will Trump jail Elon Musk?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Howard Lutnick be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before August?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |