Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Culture | YesResolved | $262 | 7.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3.5K |
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $114 | 11¢ | 100¢ | +$919 |
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.1B?Finance | YesResolved | $122 | 24¢ | 100¢ | +$385 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $150 | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$244 |
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | No | $188 | 14¢ | 20¢ | +$87 |
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Politics | YesResolved | $84 | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$180 |
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $80 | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$131 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | Yes | $231 | 9.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$64 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of June 29 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $65 | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$79 |
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Economy | NoResolved | $42 | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$63 |
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Politics | NoResolved | $35 | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$64 |
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $271 | 22¢ | 8.0¢ | -$173 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $103 | 18¢ | 17¢ | -$6 |
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?Culture | NoResolved | $36 | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$47 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?Weather | NoResolved | $50 | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$32 |
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?Politics | NoResolved | $35 | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$41 |
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?Politics | Yes | $278 | 17¢ | 4.5¢ | -$204 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | No | $42 | 58¢ | 93¢ | +$26 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $74 | 19¢ | 17¢ | -$8 |
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?Economy | NoResolved | $35 | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$31 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 2?Weather | NoResolved | $35 | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$28 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $35 | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$24 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$20 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $35 | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$19 |
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?Economy | NoResolved | $35 | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$17 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $35 | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$16 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $35 | 71¢ | 99¢ | +$14 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?Culture | NoResolved | $35 | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$14 |
Will Delta Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile be between 20 and 21 cents?Other | NoResolved | $35 | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$14 |
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 2?Weather | NoResolved | $35 | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$13 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | No | $35 | 72¢ | 99¢ | +$13 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $35 | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$13 |
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?Culture | NoResolved | $35 | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$12 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $35 | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$11 |
Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $3.1B?Finance | NoResolved | $35 | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$10 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?Culture | NoResolved | $35 | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Politics | NoResolved | $35 | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $35 | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?Politics | No | $35 | 84¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | No | $44 | 19¢ | 17¢ | -$5 |
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $35 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $35 | 21¢ | 18¢ | -$5 |
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Politics | No | $125 | 10¢ | 1.5¢ | -$106 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $278 | 16¢ | 0.9¢ | -$263 |
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?Politics | Yes | $69 | 14¢ | 2.1¢ | -$59 |
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $278 | 16¢ | 0.6¢ | -$267 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $60 | 14¢ | 1.9¢ | -$51 |
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.125B?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Tech | NoResolved | $261 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$261 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $278 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$278 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $66 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?Tech | NoResolved | $35 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $35 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?Culture | YesResolved | $153 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$153 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $49 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?Politics | YesResolved | $147 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$147 |
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?Tech | YesResolved | $74 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$74 |
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?Finance | NoResolved | $278 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$278 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $278 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$278 |
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 2?Weather | NoResolved | $51 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.0B?Finance | NoResolved | $278 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$278 |
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $35 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?Weather | NoResolved | $62 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?Politics | NoResolved | $95 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$95 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Tech | NoResolved | $118 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$118 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $104 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$104 |
Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.3B?Finance | NoResolved | $278 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$278 |
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?Finance | NoResolved | $95 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$95 |
| Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?Politics | YesResolved | $278 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$278 |
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.15B?Finance | NoResolved | $278 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$278 |
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.0B?Finance | NoResolved | $75 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $112 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$112 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of June 29 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $52 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?Tech | NoResolved | $35 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $39 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $278 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$278 |
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $163 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$163 |
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 2?Weather | NoResolved | $93 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$93 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $167 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$167 |