 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | NoResolved | $44 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
 Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Tech | NoResolved | $261 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$261 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $278 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$278 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | YesResolved | $103 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$103 |
 Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Politics | NoResolved | $125 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$125 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $74 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$74 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $66 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
 Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?Tech | NoResolved | $35 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $35 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?Culture | YesResolved | $153 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$153 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $49 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
 Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?Politics | YesResolved | $147 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$147 |
| Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?Tech | YesResolved | $74 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$74 |
 Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?Finance | NoResolved | $278 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$278 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $278 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$278 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 2?Weather | NoResolved | $51 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
 Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.0B?Finance | NoResolved | $278 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$278 |
 Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $69 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $35 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $35 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?Weather | NoResolved | $62 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?Politics | NoResolved | $95 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$95 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Tech | NoResolved | $118 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$118 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $188 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$188 |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $104 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$104 |
 Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.3B?Finance | NoResolved | $278 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$278 |
 Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?Finance | NoResolved | $95 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$95 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $60 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
 Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?Politics | YesResolved | $278 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$278 |
| Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.15B?Finance | NoResolved | $278 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$278 |
| Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.0B?Finance | NoResolved | $75 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $278 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$278 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $112 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$112 |
 Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $278 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$278 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of June 29 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $52 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
| Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?Tech | NoResolved | $35 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $39 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
 Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $271 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$271 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $231 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$231 |
| Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $278 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$278 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $278 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$278 |
 Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $163 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$163 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 2?Weather | NoResolved | $93 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$93 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $167 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$167 |
Cashed out Yes · Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?$3.7K1mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?$1.0K1mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?$2641mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$2121mo ago
Cashed out No · Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?$1041mo ago
Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?$821mo ago