← Whale Watch

0x2EaE1023ECFE412625c9DED996501145adD4a25f-1758897531821

Predicting since Sep 20252,344 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.0K on Politics markets since Sep 2025.

Right now: $921 across 7 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.4K on MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$50070¢79¢+$64
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$30070¢80¢+$41
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsNo$28595¢99¢+$12
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$18665¢87¢+$63
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsNo$16146¢69¢+$81
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6639¢92¢+$91
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$9442¢69¢+$62
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$11879¢94¢+$22
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$10079¢82¢+$4
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$9494¢95¢+$1
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7285¢99¢+$12
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$3545¢85¢+$30
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$9045¢32¢-$27
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?TechNo$5028¢34¢+$10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5656¢55¢-$1
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$4283¢98¢+$8
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?TechNo$4014¢14¢-$1
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$3355¢61¢+$4
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?TechYes$4553¢40¢-$11
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$3559¢56¢-$2
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6816¢6.5¢-$40
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1965¢88¢+$7
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$2715¢14¢-$1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsYes$6314¢4.8¢-$42
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$244.7¢4.0¢-$4
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyYes$1835¢27¢-$4
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?TechYes$1715¢9.0¢-$7
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$76.2¢8.2¢+$2
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$26.7¢27¢+$6
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$53.5¢4.9¢+$2
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$346¢86¢+$3
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsYes$5638¢4.1¢-$50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$597.3¢0.7¢-$54
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$52.0¢2.1¢+$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$183.0¢0.7¢-$14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$28.0¢16¢+$2
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$27.0¢7.5¢+$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$414¢8.5¢-$2
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1316¢2.8¢-$11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsYes$61.9¢0.5¢-$4
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$155.0¢0.4¢-$14
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$56.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?CryptoYesResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Champions LeagueClub Atlético de MadridResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$28519¢0.0¢-$285
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHLYesResolved$15.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$12.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$32.8¢0.0¢-$3
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?Soccer (other)NoResolved$241¢0.0¢-$2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$315¢0.0¢-$3
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?Champions LeagueNoResolved$528¢0.0¢-$5
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1914¢0.0¢-$19
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?TechNoResolved$244.6¢0.0¢-$24
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?PoliticsYesResolved$777.1¢0.0¢-$77
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?PoliticsYesResolved$531¢0.0¢-$5
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$76.3¢0.0¢-$7
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScorePremier LeagueNoResolved$1043¢0.0¢-$10
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Premier LeagueArsenal FCResolved$6033¢0.0¢-$60
Will Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?Premier LeagueYesResolved$1014¢0.0¢-$10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?BundesligaYesResolved$1724¢0.0¢-$17
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?Champions LeagueYesResolved$414¢0.0¢-$4
Genoa CFC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreSoccer (other)NoResolved$552¢0.0¢-$5
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScorePremier LeagueYesResolved$458¢0.0¢-$4
Newcastle United FC vs. PSV: O/U 1.5Champions LeagueUnderResolved$512¢0.0¢-$5
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?CryptoNoResolved$304.6¢0.0¢-$30
England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5World CupOverResolved$23.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Soccer (other)YesResolved$2703.6¢0.0¢-$270
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScorePremier LeagueYesResolved$549¢0.0¢-$5
Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreChampions LeagueNoResolved$551¢0.0¢-$5
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Premier LeagueLiverpool FCResolved$828¢0.0¢-$8
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$30.4¢0.0¢-$3
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$4071¢0.0¢-$40
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1053¢0.0¢-$10
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-24?La LigaYesResolved$2531¢0.0¢-$25
Will Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?La LigaYesResolved$1024¢0.0¢-$10
Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Premier LeagueUnderResolved$1023¢0.0¢-$10
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?La LigaNoResolved$1028¢0.0¢-$10
James Comey charges dropped by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$21.3¢0.0¢-$2
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1024¢0.0¢-$10
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-10?Soccer (other)YesResolved$411¢0.0¢-$4
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5Champions LeagueUnderResolved$224¢0.0¢-$2
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$40.6¢0.0¢-$4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?Soccer (other)NoResolved$155.6¢0.0¢-$15
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$516¢0.0¢-$5
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-30?Soccer (other)NoResolved$553¢0.0¢-$5
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1080¢0.0¢-$10
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-10?Soccer (other)YesResolved$815¢0.0¢-$8
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?NBAYesResolved$1051.8¢0.0¢-$105
76ers vs. PelicansNBA76ersResolved$561¢0.0¢-$5
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?Premier LeagueYesResolved$1525¢0.0¢-$15
Epstein client list released by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$32.5¢0.0¢-$3
Will Como 1907 vs. AC Milan end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$3031¢0.0¢-$30
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$346¢0.0¢-$3
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?PoliticsYesResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$2.0K
Premier League+$1.3K
Crypto+$1.2K
Boxing-$1.0K
NBA-$915
Serie A-$428
Soccer (other)+$417
La Liga-$275
World Cup-$254
Tech-$242
Champions League-$123
Tennis-$91
Biggest hit
+$1.4K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$979
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?$206m ago
  • Bought No · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?$14h ago
  • Bought No · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?$95h ago
  • Bought No · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?$011h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$372d ago
  • Bought No · Iran Nuke before 2027?$53d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?$183d ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$136d ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$46d ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$116d ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$96d ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$06d ago