Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $500 | 70¢ | 79¢ | +$64 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $300 | 70¢ | 80¢ | +$41 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | No | $285 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$12 |
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $186 | 65¢ | 87¢ | +$63 |
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | No | $161 | 46¢ | 69¢ | +$81 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $66 | 39¢ | 92¢ | +$91 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $94 | 42¢ | 69¢ | +$62 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $118 | 79¢ | 94¢ | +$22 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $100 | 79¢ | 82¢ | +$4 |
Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $94 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $72 | 85¢ | 99¢ | +$12 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $35 | 45¢ | 85¢ | +$30 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $90 | 45¢ | 32¢ | -$27 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $50 | 28¢ | 34¢ | +$10 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $56 | 56¢ | 55¢ | -$1 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $42 | 83¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Tech | No | $40 | 14¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $33 | 55¢ | 61¢ | +$4 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $45 | 53¢ | 40¢ | -$11 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $35 | 59¢ | 56¢ | -$2 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $68 | 16¢ | 6.5¢ | -$40 |
| Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $19 | 65¢ | 88¢ | +$7 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | Yes | $27 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $63 | 14¢ | 4.8¢ | -$42 |
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $24 | 4.7¢ | 4.0¢ | -$4 |
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Economy | Yes | $18 | 35¢ | 27¢ | -$4 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $17 | 15¢ | 9.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $7 | 6.2¢ | 8.2¢ | +$2 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.7¢ | 27¢ | +$6 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 3.5¢ | 4.9¢ | +$2 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 46¢ | 86¢ | +$3 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $56 | 38¢ | 4.1¢ | -$50 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $59 | 7.3¢ | 0.7¢ | -$54 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 2.0¢ | 2.1¢ | +$0 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 3.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$14 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $2 | 8.0¢ | 16¢ | +$2 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 7.0¢ | 7.5¢ | +$0 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 8.5¢ | -$2 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $13 | 16¢ | 2.8¢ | -$11 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? Politics | Yes | $6 | 1.9¢ | 0.5¢ | -$4 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 5.0¢ | 0.4¢ | -$14 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Champions League | Club Atlético de MadridResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $285 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$285 |
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHL | YesResolved | $1 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $2 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?Champions League | NoResolved | $5 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $24 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Politics | YesResolved | $77 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$77 |
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPolitics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScorePremier League | NoResolved | $10 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Premier League | Arsenal FCResolved | $60 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?Premier League | YesResolved | $10 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?Bundesliga | YesResolved | $17 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?Champions League | YesResolved | $4 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Genoa CFC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreSoccer (other) | NoResolved | $5 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScorePremier League | YesResolved | $4 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Newcastle United FC vs. PSV: O/U 1.5Champions League | UnderResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?Crypto | NoResolved | $30 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5World Cup | OverResolved | $2 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $270 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$270 |
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScorePremier League | YesResolved | $5 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreChampions League | NoResolved | $5 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Premier League | Liverpool FCResolved | $8 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Soccer (other) | OverResolved | $40 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-24?La Liga | YesResolved | $25 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?La Liga | YesResolved | $10 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Premier League | UnderResolved | $10 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?La Liga | NoResolved | $10 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
James Comey charges dropped by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-10?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $4 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5Champions League | UnderResolved | $2 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $15 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-30?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $5 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-10?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $8 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $105 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$105 |
76ers vs. PelicansNBA | 76ersResolved | $5 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?Premier League | YesResolved | $15 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Epstein client list released by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Como 1907 vs. AC Milan end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $30 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5Soccer (other) | UnderResolved | $3 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |