what-are-the-odds

Predicting since Jul 202494 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Politics	Yes	$303	17¢	11¢	-$105
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics	Yes	$94	21¢	14¢	-$29
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Politics	No	$49	25¢	24¢	-$1
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics	No	$50	50¢	47¢	-$3
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?Politics	Yes	$45	9.0¢	3.8¢	-$26
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics	Yes	$41	1.9¢	0.5¢	-$29
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$10	20¢	6.5¢	-$7
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Politics	Yes	$6	13¢	6.5¢	-$3
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$181	4.7¢	0.0¢	-$181
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$20	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Politics	YesResolved	$38	14¢	0.0¢	-$38
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$32	4.6¢	0.0¢	-$32
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics	YesResolved	$78	3.9¢	0.0¢	-$78

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$778

Culture+$157

Tech-$12

Weather-$5

Mentions-$2

Biggest hit

+$380

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Toughest beat

-$133

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Bought No · Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?$495d ago
Bought Yes · Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$119d ago
Bought Yes · Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$219d ago
Bought No · Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1019d ago
Bought No · Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$4019d ago
Sold Yes · Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$661mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$101mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$511mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2902mo ago
Bought Yes · Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$462mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?$12mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?$22mo ago