← Whale Watch

Solalpha

Predicting since Jun 2025447 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $7.0K on Politics markets since Jun 2025.

Right now: $1.6K riding on Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?CultureNo$19435¢21¢-$79
Will Trump say "Best of Trump" in July?MentionsNo$5147¢69¢+$24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$8016¢14¢-$8
Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in July?MentionsNo$1317¢88¢+$55
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?CultureYes$10124¢14¢-$41
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$5663¢48¢-$13
Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?PoliticsNo$5149¢31¢-$19
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$6725¢6.5¢-$49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsNo$2835¢13¢-$18
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?PoliticsYes$10711¢1.0¢-$98
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?PoliticsNo$1635¢10¢-$11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?PoliticsNo$1929¢6.5¢-$15
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?PoliticsYes$5454¢1.9¢-$52
Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?PoliticsYes$324.0¢0.2¢-$31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsNo$2621¢0.8¢-$25
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.6K15¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$3523¢0.0¢-$35
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$8174¢0.0¢-$81
Will Trump say "Chair" this week?MentionsNoResolved$2629¢0.0¢-$26
Will Trump praise Gianni Infantino by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$4911¢0.0¢-$49
Will Bernie say "Iran" in Maine?MentionsNoResolved$5320¢0.0¢-$53
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Affordability" during NYC rally?MentionsYesResolved$10067¢0.0¢-$100
Will USD be at least 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2613¢0.0¢-$26
Will Trump say "Easter" in March?MentionsNoResolved$9639¢0.0¢-$96
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C or below on January 14?WeatherNoResolved$4147¢0.0¢-$41
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$27754¢0.0¢-$277
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5759¢0.0¢-$57
Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during Wisconsin events?MentionsNoResolved$1857¢0.0¢-$18
Netanyahu out by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$10420¢0.0¢-$104
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in April?MentionsNoResolved$9065¢0.0¢-$90
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" in April?MentionsNoResolved$247¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 37°C on January 14?WeatherYesResolved$3133¢0.0¢-$31
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?PoliticsNoResolved$3875¢0.0¢-$38
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 27 - May 3)MentionsNoResolved$3232¢0.0¢-$32
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$2869¢0.0¢-$28
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$31257¢0.0¢-$312
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?PoliticsNoResolved$22353¢0.0¢-$223
Will "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 15+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?MentionsNoResolved$1623¢0.0¢-$16
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$8514¢0.0¢-$85
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$15083¢0.0¢-$150
Will Trump say "No Tax" during events in Rockland County?MentionsNoResolved$825¢0.0¢-$8
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$91313¢0.0¢-$913
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$26651¢0.0¢-$266
Will "Trump" be said at the Oscars?MentionsYesResolved$29768¢0.0¢-$297
Mehdi Taremi: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$1018¢0.0¢-$10
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 9?PoliticsNoResolved$7263¢0.0¢-$72
Will "System" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?MentionsNoResolved$49.9¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump say "Disgusting" in April?MentionsNoResolved$713¢0.0¢-$7
Will Starmer say "National Security" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?MentionsNoResolved$946¢0.0¢-$9
Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Crack" or "Cocaine" 10+ times on Thursday?MentionsNoResolved$3559¢0.0¢-$35
Will Trump say "Cancer" this week?MentionsNoResolved$414¢0.0¢-$4
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 14?FinanceUpResolved$15645¢0.0¢-$156
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?PoliticsNoResolved$16627¢0.0¢-$166
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$6765¢0.0¢-$67
Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?MentionsNoResolved$4055¢0.0¢-$40
Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April?MentionsNoResolved$855¢0.0¢-$8
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$409.0¢0.0¢-$40
Will Starmer say "Reform" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?MentionsNoResolved$720¢0.0¢-$7
Will Trump say "World Cup" during Speech to the Nation?MentionsYesResolved$2024¢0.0¢-$20
Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?MentionsYesResolved$543¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?MentionsYesResolved$6749¢0.0¢-$67
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 37°C or higher on January 13?WeatherYesResolved$374.3¢0.0¢-$37
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Israel" or "Israeli" during NYC rally?MentionsYesResolved$7772¢0.0¢-$77
Will Trump say "MIGA" or "Make Iran Great Again" this week? (March 15)MentionsYesResolved$7823¢0.0¢-$78
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?FinanceNoResolved$15636¢0.0¢-$156
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during NYC rally?MentionsYesResolved$13172¢0.0¢-$131
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?MentionsNoResolved$3517¢0.0¢-$35
Will Trump say "Regime change" this week?MentionsNoResolved$1251¢0.0¢-$12
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?PoliticsYesResolved$2312¢0.0¢-$23
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 10?PoliticsNoResolved$240¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "Sucker" this week?MentionsNoResolved$2364¢0.0¢-$23
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$306.0¢0.0¢-$30
Will Trump say "Landslide" during Wisconsin events?MentionsNoResolved$5955¢0.0¢-$59
Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$7023¢0.0¢-$70
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?PoliticsYesResolved$12042¢0.0¢-$120
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$300.1¢0.0¢-$30
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$9012¢0.0¢-$90
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?CultureNoResolved$6153¢0.0¢-$61
Will Trump say "Dog" in April?MentionsNoResolved$13353¢0.0¢-$133
Will Trump or Melania say "Space force" at the Military Mothers event?MentionsNoResolved$5270¢0.0¢-$52
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$6026¢0.0¢-$60
Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" this week?MentionsNoResolved$3527¢0.0¢-$35
Will Trump say "Eagle" in May?MentionsNoResolved$334.2¢0.0¢-$33
Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1325¢0.0¢-$13
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$7016¢0.0¢-$70
Iran Nuke in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$39617¢0.0¢-$396
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2030¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$5340¢0.0¢-$53
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 10?PoliticsNoResolved$13537¢0.0¢-$135
Will Trump say "Moon" during Tribute to America Rally?MentionsNoResolved$2023¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)MentionsNoResolved$3234¢0.0¢-$32
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7?PoliticsNoResolved$21754¢0.0¢-$217
Will Trump say "Snake" in May?MentionsNoResolved$2254¢0.0¢-$22
Will the first eaglet hatch on April 7, 2026?CultureYesResolved$20320¢0.0¢-$203
Will "Monkey" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 20)MentionsNoResolved$2575¢0.0¢-$25
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$18025¢0.0¢-$180
Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$6020¢0.0¢-$60
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$34847¢0.0¢-$348
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?MentionsNoResolved$1154¢0.0¢-$11
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 15?PoliticsNoResolved$716¢0.0¢-$7

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$7.0K
Mentions-$560
Finance-$448
World Cup-$183
eSports+$15
Culture-$6
Weather-$3
Crypto+$0
Biggest hit
+$746
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Toughest beat
-$858
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$21d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$101d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$111d ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in July?$91d ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$262d ago
  • Bought No · Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?$122d ago
  • Bought No · Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?$392d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?$542d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?$222d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$292d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$152d ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$182d ago