← Whale Watch
ErgodicEntropy
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Politics | Yes | $10 | 33¢ | 11¢ | -$7 |
 AWS service disrupted by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Politics+$321
Crypto+$90
Tech-$56
Economy+$26
Weather-$2
Finance+$0
Biggest hit
+$141
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Toughest beat
-$150
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Recent moves
Cashed out No · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$3327d ago
Cashed out Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$01mo ago
Sold Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$381mo ago- Sold No · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$151mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$01mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$01mo ago
Cashed out No · Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$01mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$01mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?$81mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$01mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?$01mo ago
Cashed out No · Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$01mo ago