← Whale Watch

Lalaf

Predicting since Mar 2024184 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $9.1K on Mentions markets since Mar 2024.

Right now: $18K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$16K on Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
TikTok sale announced before April?PoliticsYesResolved$2.1K26¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?CryptoNoResolved$50045¢0.0¢-$500
Will Kamala say "Trump" in her speech after the election is called?MentionsNoResolved$10611¢0.0¢-$106
Trump x Xi talk by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$10014¢0.0¢-$100
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?CultureYesResolved$1003.6¢0.0¢-$100
Will the HBO documentary identify Craig Wright as Satoshi?CryptoYesResolved$110.4¢0.0¢-$11
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in January?CryptoNoResolved$1008.3¢0.0¢-$100
Will Trump say 'DEI' or 'diversity, equity, and inclusion' during the 2025 State of the Union?MentionsNoResolved$5.3K33¢0.0¢-$5.3K
Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during December FOMC Press Conference?MentionsNoResolved$2007.0¢0.0¢-$200
Will Mike Pompeo win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?PoliticsYesResolved$500.4¢0.0¢-$50
Will Trump say 'mineral' during the 2025 State of the Union?MentionsNoResolved$45012¢0.0¢-$450
Will Trump say 'terrible' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?MentionsYesResolved$82346¢0.0¢-$823
RFK Jr. picks Nicole Shanahan as running mate?OtherNoResolved$7.4K20¢0.0¢-$7.4K
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?MentionsYesResolved$20011¢0.0¢-$200
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$20011¢0.0¢-$200
Will Trump say 'retard' or 'retarded' during the 2025 State of the Union?MentionsYesResolved$1091.2¢0.0¢-$109
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 75% and 100% on May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$9030¢0.0¢-$90
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 50% on May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$50072¢0.0¢-$500
Baltimore Bridge ship hacked?OtherYesResolved$1007.1¢0.0¢-$100
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?PoliticsNoResolved$501.3¢0.0¢-$50
Will 29-32 people watch Trump inauguration?PoliticsYesResolved$8120¢0.0¢-$81
Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?MentionsYesResolved$35020¢0.0¢-$350
Is $DJT real?PoliticsYesResolved$2006.9¢0.0¢-$200
Will Housecoin reach $0.150 before June?CryptoYesResolved$10005.0¢0.0¢-$1000
Linea airdrop by June 30?CryptoYesResolved$39829¢0.0¢-$398
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?PoliticsYesResolved$1006.3¢0.0¢-$100
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?BoxingYesResolved$1302.9¢0.0¢-$130
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?PoliticsYesResolved$2.6K46¢0.0¢-$2.6K
Will Tom Brady attend presidential inauguration?PoliticsYesResolved$505.0¢0.0¢-$50
Will Trump say "DOGE" during Fox News Oval Office interview?MentionsYesResolved$5623¢0.0¢-$56
Will $DADDY flip $MOTHER by Friday?CryptoNoResolved$12532¢0.0¢-$125
Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?CryptoYesResolved$2009.6¢0.0¢-$200
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin March 25-31?CryptoNoResolved$40020¢0.0¢-$400
VanEck tweet "retardio" in April?CryptoYesResolved$2015.3¢0.0¢-$201
Will Trump say 'Zelenskyy' during the 2025 State of the Union?MentionsNoResolved$90028¢0.0¢-$900
Will Trump say 'Gulf of America' during the 2025 State of the Union?MentionsNoResolved$98027¢0.0¢-$980
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" by April 4?MentionsNoResolved$17068¢0.0¢-$170
Will Trump announce his VP pick later?PoliticsYesResolved$2003.8¢0.0¢-$200
Will anyone say "Poly" or "Poly-" 5+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?MentionsYesResolved$10029¢0.0¢-$100
Will Microsoft buy TikTok?PoliticsYesResolved$70050¢0.0¢-$700
Will 5-6 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?PoliticsYesResolved$4.6K25¢0.0¢-$4.6K
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$40040¢0.0¢-$400
Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?PoliticsNoResolved$1.2K60¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024?CultureYesResolved$80125¢0.0¢-$801
Will Greg Abbott win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?PoliticsYesResolved$1000.4¢0.0¢-$100
Will ETH dip below $3,000 by Friday?OtherYesResolved$121.1¢0.0¢-$12
Will Trump's 2025 joint address get <34m viewers?PoliticsYesResolved$4.0K52¢0.0¢-$4.0K
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?PoliticsNoResolved$50064¢0.0¢-$500
Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?PoliticsYesResolved$1003.9¢0.0¢-$100
Will there be a US Government shutdown? PoliticsNoResolved$3000.7¢0.0¢-$300
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?PoliticsNoResolved$499.8¢0.0¢-$49
Will Diddy be sentenced to life in prison?PoliticsYesResolved$1007.6¢0.0¢-$100
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman?PoliticsYesResolved$40013¢0.0¢-$400
Will either candidate say a slur at the debate?PoliticsYesResolved$2009.2¢0.0¢-$200
Will Trump say 'Russia' 3+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?MentionsNoResolved$25030¢0.0¢-$250
Will Trump say 'DOGE' or 'Department of Government Efficiency' during the 2025 State of the Union?MentionsNoResolved$3.3K21¢0.0¢-$3.3K
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$40020¢0.0¢-$400
India-Pakistan declare war before June?PoliticsYesResolved$3003.5¢0.0¢-$300
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?PoliticsYesResolved$2001.2¢0.0¢-$200
$WIF listed on Coinbase in 2024?CryptoNoResolved$1.8K18¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Biden stumbles by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$574.9¢0.0¢-$57
Will China confirm trade negotiations have begun by next Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$5006.4¢0.0¢-$500
EigenLayer airdrop by June 30?CryptoYesResolved$45066¢0.0¢-$450
Will Kamala say "Victory" in her speech after the election is called?MentionsNoResolved$2956¢0.0¢-$29
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?PoliticsNoResolved$2.0K54¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$98725¢0.0¢-$987
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?PoliticsYesResolved$2606.8¢0.0¢-$260
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out first?PoliticsYesResolved$3005.9¢0.0¢-$300
Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?PoliticsNoResolved$13K49¢0.0¢-$13K
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 10% and 13% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$30015¢0.0¢-$300
US military action against Iran before July?PoliticsNoResolved$2.0K54¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Hawk Tuah token by Thanksgiving?CryptoNoResolved$2.1K40¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?PoliticsYesResolved$2500.5¢0.0¢-$250
Aleo airdrop by June 30?CryptoYesResolved$35239¢0.0¢-$352
Israel strikes Yemen by Monday?PoliticsNoResolved$10022¢0.0¢-$100
DeepSeek banned in US before July?PoliticsYesResolved$1.3K19¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will Kari Lake win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?PoliticsYesResolved$2000.1¢0.0¢-$200
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 32-33°F on January 23?WeatherYesResolved$1884.9¢0.0¢-$188
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 50% and 75% on May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$51227¢0.0¢-$512
Will Fear & Greed Index report "Extreme Fear" on March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$73169¢0.0¢-$731
Will Trump say 'Mexico' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?MentionsNoResolved$1002.0¢0.0¢-$100
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?CultureNoResolved$65023¢0.0¢-$650
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$80019¢0.0¢-$800
US-China trade deal before June?PoliticsNoResolved$5920¢0.0¢-$59
Will Dan Bilzerian launch a memecoin by Friday?CryptoYesResolved$33012¢0.0¢-$330
Will Subhub’s market cap be at least $13B at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$20022¢0.0¢-$200
Will a Trump family member win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?PoliticsYesResolved$4001.1¢0.0¢-$400
Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?PoliticsYesResolved$6566.5¢0.0¢-$656
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? PoliticsYesResolved$1.6K50¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?PoliticsYesResolved$1000.4¢0.0¢-$100
Will Trump say 'inflation' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?MentionsYesResolved$1006.9¢0.0¢-$100
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?PoliticsNoResolved$14K29¢0.0¢-$14K
Will the HBO documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?CryptoYesResolved$12814¢0.0¢-$128
Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?PoliticsNoResolved$28022¢0.0¢-$280

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Mentions-$9.1K
Crypto-$7.9K
Other-$7.2K
Politics+$4.8K
Culture+$1.7K
Tech-$1.3K
College Hoops+$379
Weather-$188
Boxing-$130
Other sports+$77
Economy-$14
Biggest hit
+$16K
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Toughest beat
-$5.5K
Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? $17mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump say "Pipeline" by April 4?$87mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Elon say "Tesla" during Baier interview on Thursday?$557mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs? $1297mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Ilhan Omar applaud during Trump's address to Congress?$1687mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Zoe Saldaña win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$1747mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump say "April Fool's" by April 4?$1787mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$2017mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Curtis Sliwa get between 16% and 19% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.2K7mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.9K7mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?$2.2K7mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.2K7mo ago