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Predicting since Jan 20262,063 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.1K on Culture markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $1.0K riding on # of ChatGPT Outage Days in July 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?TechNo$1.0K57¢100¢+$745
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?TechNo$10080¢99¢+$23
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherYes$109.9¢3.4¢-$7
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?TechYesResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Will Adele be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will A$AP Rocky be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?CultureNoResolved$28841¢0.0¢-$288
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$13.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?CultureNoResolved$4113¢0.0¢-$41
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April?EconomyYesResolved$132¢0.0¢-$1
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?WeatherNoResolved$30033¢0.0¢-$300
Will Taylor Swift be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bad Bunny be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon post "Claude" on X this week?MentionsNoResolved$43.9¢0.0¢-$4
Will Sam Smith be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Doors - Noah Kahan" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?CultureYesResolved$571.0¢0.0¢-$57
Will Timothée Chalamet be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ice Spice be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Frank Ocean be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top US Netflix show this week?CultureNoResolved$50044¢0.0¢-$500
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?PoliticsYesResolved$13.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?CultureNoResolved$2051.3¢0.0¢-$205
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon post "Always" on X this week?MentionsNoResolved$5069¢0.0¢-$50
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?PoliticsYesResolved$492¢0.0¢-$4
Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?WeatherYesResolved$30014¢0.0¢-$300
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?TechNoResolved$2169.4¢0.0¢-$216

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Culture-$1.1K
Weather-$607
Tech+$551
Crypto+$398
Mentions-$54
Politics-$9
Economy-$1
Biggest hit
+$71
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Toughest beat
-$45
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?$1018h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will there be more than 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$405d ago
  • Cashed out No · NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 18?$365d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$2195d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$2946d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$327d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$737d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be more than 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$397d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$1067d ago
  • Sold Yes · Chicago Air Quality Index below 100 by July 18, 2026?$567d ago
  • Sold Yes · Chicago Air Quality Index below 100 by July 19, 2026?$1717d ago
  • Sold Yes · Columbus Air Quality Index below 100 by July 18, 2026?$317d ago