Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $462 | 91¢ | 83¢ | -$41 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $400 | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$4 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $99 | 23¢ | 88¢ | +$284 |
Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?Finance | No | $361 | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$13 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $288 | 72¢ | 85¢ | +$51 |
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $283 | 71¢ | 59¢ | -$48 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | No | $214 | 55¢ | 47¢ | -$31 |
ECB rate cut in 2026?Economy | No | $118 | 62¢ | 88¢ | +$48 |
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $100 | 61¢ | 91¢ | +$50 |
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $100 | 20¢ | 26¢ | +$28 |
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?Finance | No | $116 | 58¢ | 62¢ | +$8 |
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | Yes | $102 | 51¢ | 54¢ | +$6 |
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $106 | 34¢ | 34¢ | +$2 |
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $20 | 16¢ | 28¢ | +$16 |
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Tech | Yes | $24 | 77¢ | 95¢ | +$6 |
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $55 | 45¢ | 21¢ | -$30 |
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $29 | 43¢ | 16¢ | -$18 |
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 2.9¢ | 3.2¢ | +$1 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $48 | 21¢ | 2.8¢ | -$42 |
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?Politics | Yes | $6 | 2.0¢ | 2.1¢ | +$0 |
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Economy | No | $2 | 42¢ | 74¢ | +$1 |
Will GBP/USD hit 1.50 (High) in 2026?Finance | No | $1 | 50¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
Will GBP/USD hit 1.45 (High) in 2026?Finance | No | $1 | 46¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?Champions League | YesResolved | $14 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $18 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by 2.9% in December?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in January?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Powell say "Probability" during January press conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $25 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $40 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $34 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $76 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$76 |
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $44 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
Will Robert Sánchez be the goalkeeper with the most clean sheets in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Premier League | YesResolved | $2 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will USD/JPY hit 160 (High) in 2026?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by 3.0% in December?Economy | YesResolved | $16 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $4 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $56 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $14 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will UK GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Culture | NoResolved | $4 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1)eSports | Gen.GResolved | $13 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the Eurozone's monthly inflation be ≥0.3% in December?Economy | YesResolved | $6 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $40 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $64 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$64 |
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.5 and 1.0%?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?NFL | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1)eSports | Gen.GResolved | $5 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.0%?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $36 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get 80 million or more views on day 1?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $49 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
Will the Eurozone's annual inflation increase by 2.1% in December?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during December press conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $13 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $55 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in December?Economy | NoResolved | $55 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in January?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Powell say "Too late" during January press conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $20 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Culture | YesResolved | $7 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $6 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will UK GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Powell say "Not our job" during January press conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $19 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the US lose jobs in January?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Canada's annual inflation increase by 2.3% in December?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the Eurozone's monthly inflation be 0.1% in December?Economy | YesResolved | $11 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $95 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$95 |
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Politics | YesResolved | $55 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by 3.2% in December?Economy | YesResolved | $18 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will "American Girls - Harry Styles" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Culture | NoResolved | $11 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.3%?Economy | YesResolved | $150 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |