← Whale Watch

Tradebymoonlight

Predicting since Jun 202544 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.8K on Politics markets since Jun 2025.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)YesResolved$2019¢0.0¢-$20
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?PoliticsYesResolved$987.0¢0.0¢-$98
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 20?PoliticsYesResolved$623.0¢0.0¢-$62
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?CultureYesResolved$147.6¢0.0¢-$14
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?TennisYesResolved$20451¢0.0¢-$204
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?TechNoResolved$29222¢0.0¢-$292

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$2.8K
Culture-$389
Tech-$292
Tennis-$263
Other sports-$205
Soccer (other)-$90
Mentions-$55
NFL-$2
Biggest hit
+$501
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Toughest beat
-$1.9K
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$677mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$4857mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?$987mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 20?$627mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2379mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3129mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$2010mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?$2010mo ago
  • Bought No · Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?$29211mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$15411mo ago