 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | Yes | $922 | 51¢ | 34¢ | -$306 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | Yes | $384 | 42¢ | 63¢ | +$189 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | Yes | $586 | 65¢ | 64¢ | -$16 |
 Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $345 | 63¢ | 67¢ | +$20 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $295 | 74¢ | 84¢ | +$39 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $295 | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$13 |
 Will Discord IPO by November 30, 2026?Tech | No | $186 | 78¢ | 89¢ | +$25 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $218 | 40¢ | 39¢ | -$8 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | Yes | $167 | 50¢ | 53¢ | +$9 |
 Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?Politics | Yes | $98 | 18¢ | 20¢ | +$11 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $92 | 84¢ | 77¢ | -$8 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $84 | 76¢ | 76¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | No | $84 | 82¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $84 | 32¢ | 31¢ | -$3 |
 Beezie FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $81 | 74¢ | 65¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | Yes | $65 | 38¢ | 38¢ | -$0 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | No | $97 | 24¢ | 16¢ | -$35 |
| Will Discord IPO by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $47 | 73¢ | 93¢ | +$13 |
| Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $51 | 76¢ | 86¢ | +$6 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | Yes | $56 | 30¢ | 31¢ | +$0 |
 Discord IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $146 | 39¢ | 14¢ | -$93 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $45 | 41¢ | 46¢ | +$5 |
 Will Bloomberg IPO by March 31, 2027?Tech | No | $43 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $36 | 71¢ | 74¢ | +$1 |
 Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Tech | Yes | $26 | 51¢ | 73¢ | +$11 |
| Beezie FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $30 | 27¢ | 33¢ | +$6 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $37 | 24¢ | 21¢ | -$5 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | Yes | $53 | 15¢ | 9.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $26 | 65¢ | 72¢ | +$3 |
 Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung?Politics | Yes | $20 | 45¢ | 58¢ | +$6 |
 Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $3T?Tech | No | $22 | 81¢ | 89¢ | +$2 |
| Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $22 | 43¢ | 43¢ | -$0 |
 Will Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $16 | 50¢ | 67¢ | +$5 |
| Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $19 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | Yes | $57 | 38¢ | 11¢ | -$41 |
 Will Gladson Camelí win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 26¢ | 17¢ | -$7 |
 Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 40¢ | 28¢ | -$5 |
 Will Ciro Nogueira win the second-most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 13¢ | 13¢ | +$0 |
| Will Bloomberg IPO by September 30, 2027?Tech | Yes | $22 | 45¢ | 20¢ | -$13 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Tech | Yes | $20 | 40¢ | 18¢ | -$11 |
 Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $4 | 2.3¢ | 4.3¢ | +$4 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $8 | 38¢ | 36¢ | -$0 |
 Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Politics | Yes | $7 | 28¢ | 27¢ | -$0 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027?Crypto | No | $8 | 38¢ | 34¢ | -$1 |
 Will Sébastien Schneeberger win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 12¢ | 9.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?Politics | Yes | $35 | 50¢ | 6.5¢ | -$30 |
 Will Carl Cooper win the next West Tamar mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 10¢ | 5.5¢ | -$3 |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 68¢ | 49¢ | -$1 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | Yes | $6 | 15¢ | 5.5¢ | -$4 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | Yes | $2 | 50¢ | 42¢ | -$0 |
 Will Brett Whiteley win the next Latrobe mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 72¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $4 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?NBA | YesResolved | $0 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $26 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
| Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $19 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $29 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
 Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $7 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5World Cup | OverResolved | $48 | 96¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Politics | YesResolved | $127 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$127 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Julian Alvarez score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $27 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $51 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
 Will Florian Wirtz score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $25 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or higher on March 17?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Christian Pulisic score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $108 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$108 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping by July 22?Politics | NoResolved | $39 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
 Will USA be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $5 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $67 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?Politics | NoResolved | $144 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$144 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $76 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$76 |
| Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $40 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Friday roundtable?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?Politics | NoResolved | $33 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 20?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $4 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?World Cup | YesResolved | $17 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 World Cup: Scoreless Team?World Cup | NoResolved | $3 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?World Cup | NoResolved | $2 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?NBA | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Politics | NoResolved | $289 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$289 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $58 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
| Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?World Cup | NoResolved | $44 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | FranceResolved | $3 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $27 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreWorld Cup | NoResolved | $34 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Military action against Iran ends on March 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Spurs vs. LakersNBA | LakersResolved | $30 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $70 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |