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Pilagi

Predicting since Nov 2024230 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $571 riding on Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?PoliticsYes$57194¢95¢+$5
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$7583¢80¢-$3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$5491¢99¢+$5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$5069¢73¢+$3
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNo$6685¢62¢-$18
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$5083¢80¢-$2
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$3591¢96¢+$2
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsYes$2074¢79¢+$1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$2090¢95¢+$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2093¢82¢-$2
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1079¢99¢+$3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$1073¢85¢+$2
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$1091¢99¢+$1
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsYes$1083¢89¢+$1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$876¢80¢+$0
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$567¢98¢+$2
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$578¢99¢+$1
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$589¢94¢+$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$467¢64¢-$0
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?TechYes$467¢59¢-$1
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$362¢60¢-$0
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?NHLYes$23.4¢4.2¢+$0
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$229¢0.0¢-$2
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$257¢0.0¢-$2
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$40.7¢0.0¢-$4
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$133¢0.0¢-$1
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?World CupYesResolved$139¢0.0¢-$1
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$564¢0.0¢-$5
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$1556¢0.0¢-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?World CupYesResolved$2386¢0.0¢-$23
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceWorld CupNorwayResolved$333¢0.0¢-$3
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?PoliticsNoResolved$593¢0.0¢-$5
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$540¢0.0¢-$5
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$72.5¢0.0¢-$7
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$257¢0.0¢-$2
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$135¢0.0¢-$1
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?TechNoResolved$279¢0.0¢-$2
Will Robert Mitchell win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?PoliticsYesResolved$360¢0.0¢-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$203
Culture+$38
World Cup-$22
NHL-$16
Hockey (other)-$5
Mentions+$3
Tech-$3
Economy+$1
Weather-$1
Biggest hit
+$100
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Toughest beat
-$129
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$111d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$206d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?$126d ago
  • Sold No · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$146d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$36d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$26d ago
  • Bought Argentina · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$56d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$118d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$510d ago
  • Cashed out No · Israel closes its airspace by July 15?$1110d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?$410d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$510d ago