PaulMorel

Predicting since Dec 202538 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?Politics	No	$3	84¢	95¢	+$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?Politics	No	$2	66¢	94¢	+$1
Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.0%?Economy	NoResolved	$2	91¢	100¢	+$0
Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be below 0.0%?Economy	NoResolved	$2	91¢	100¢	+$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics	No	$1	84¢	98¢	+$0
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$1	23¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Tech	NoResolved	$2	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Hades 2 win Best Art Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?Other sports	YesResolved	$1	15¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in January?Mentions	NoResolved	$2	74¢	0.0¢	-$2
Weed rescheduled by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	31¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Politics	NoResolved	$1	38¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Tech	YesResolved	$1	3.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Art Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?Other sports	NoResolved	$1	36¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$2	67¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Death Stranding 2: On the Beach win Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?Other sports	YesResolved	$2	22¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$3	6.9¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Best Art Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?Other sports	YesResolved	$2	30¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$21

Tech-$2

Mentions-$2

Culture+$1

Other sports-$1

Economy+$0

eSports+$0

Biggest hit

+$5

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Audio Design at the 2025 Game Awards?

Toughest beat

-$8

Weed rescheduled in 2025?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Another Elon baby by June 30?$68mo ago
Bought No · Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in January?$28mo ago
Sold Yes · U.S. strike on Nigeria by December 31, 2025?$18mo ago
Bought Yes · U.S. strike on Nigeria by December 31, 2025?$18mo ago
Bought Yes · No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027$38mo ago
Sold No · North Korea missile launch by January 31?$109mo ago
Sold Yes · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$29mo ago
Bought No · Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$19mo ago
Bought Yes · Weed rescheduled by March 31?$19mo ago
Sold No · Weed rescheduled by March 31?$29mo ago
Bought Yes · Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$19mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$19mo ago