← Whale Watch

PaulMorel

Predicting since Dec 202538 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027PoliticsYes$413¢24¢+$3
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?PoliticsNo$384¢92¢+$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?PoliticsNo$266¢94¢+$1
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$12.9¢7.2¢+$1
Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.0%?EconomyNoResolved$291¢100¢+$0
Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be below 0.0%?EconomyNoResolved$291¢100¢+$0
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$210.0¢8.0¢-$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$184¢96¢+$0
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?TechNoResolved$25.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Hades 2 win Best Art Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?Other sportsYesResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in January?MentionsNoResolved$274¢0.0¢-$2
Weed rescheduled by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$131¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?PoliticsNoResolved$138¢0.0¢-$1
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?TechYesResolved$13.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Art Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?Other sportsNoResolved$136¢0.0¢-$1
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$267¢0.0¢-$2
Will Death Stranding 2: On the Beach win Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?Other sportsYesResolved$222¢0.0¢-$2
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$36.9¢0.0¢-$3
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Best Art Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?Other sportsYesResolved$230¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$12
Tech-$2
Mentions-$2
Culture+$1
Other sports-$1
Economy+$0
eSports+$0
Biggest hit
+$5
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Audio Design at the 2025 Game Awards?
Toughest beat
-$8
Weed rescheduled in 2025?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Another Elon baby by June 30?$66mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in January?$26mo ago
  • Sold Yes · U.S. strike on Nigeria by December 31, 2025?$17mo ago
  • Bought Yes · U.S. strike on Nigeria by December 31, 2025?$17mo ago
  • Bought Yes · No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027$37mo ago
  • Sold No · North Korea missile launch by January 31?$107mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$27mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$17mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Weed rescheduled by March 31?$17mo ago
  • Sold No · Weed rescheduled by March 31?$27mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$17mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$17mo ago