Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Tech | No | $20K | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$62 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $5.2K | 64¢ | 94¢ | +$2.4K |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | No | $8.9K | 62¢ | 27¢ | -$5.1K |
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2.2K | 84¢ | 96¢ | +$298 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $3.5K | 55¢ | 23¢ | -$2.0K |
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Politics | No | $1.3K | 84¢ | 96¢ | +$181 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?Tech | Yes | $1000 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$107 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $560 | 56¢ | 54¢ | -$25 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $650 | 40¢ | 31¢ | -$154 |
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Culture | Yes | $370 | 74¢ | 86¢ | +$58 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $340 | 68¢ | 82¢ | +$67 |
5kt meteor strike in 2026?Weather | No | $263 | 48¢ | 74¢ | +$140 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $234 | 47¢ | 74¢ | +$133 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $300 | 71¢ | 86¢ | +$63 |
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $179 | 29¢ | 45¢ | +$100 |
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?Politics | Yes | $93 | 24¢ | 66¢ | +$165 |
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?Tech | No | $146 | 62¢ | 98¢ | +$84 |
US military draft authorized in 2026?Politics | No | $204 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$10 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1000 | 70¢ | 14¢ | -$807 |
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | No | $106 | 71¢ | 96¢ | +$38 |
Will Trump deport 500-600k people?Politics | Yes | $24 | 4.5¢ | 14¢ | +$50 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | No | $46 | 63¢ | 94¢ | +$23 |
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Weather | No | $44 | 76¢ | 92¢ | +$9 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $88 | 22¢ | 7.4¢ | -$58 |
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $86 | 4.6¢ | 1.2¢ | -$63 |
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Tech | No | $33 | 60¢ | 22¢ | -$21 |
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 3.0¢ | 0.9¢ | -$18 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $10 | 22¢ | 14¢ | -$4 |
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 38¢ | 51¢ | +$0 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2.0K | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.0K |
Will Trump say "Mr. Speaker" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Mentions | YesResolved | $2.3K | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.3K |
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $300 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $800 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$800 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $70 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $579 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$579 |
Will Trump say "Objective" or "Goal" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?Mentions | NoResolved | $75 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3.0K | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.0K |
Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Mentions | NoResolved | $395 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$395 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $300 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $126 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during March press conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $300 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?Politics | Leadership ChangeResolved | $200 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $200 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Trump say "Obama" during the State of the Union address?Mentions | NoResolved | $100 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $500 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$500 |
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $300 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
Will Trump say "Olympic" or "Olympics" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Mentions | NoResolved | $109 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$109 |
Will Trump say "No No No" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Mentions | NoResolved | $814 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$814 |
Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?Tech | NoResolved | $22 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Politics | YesResolved | $430 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$430 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $25 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Tech | YesResolved | $457 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$457 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1000 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1000 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $8 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Tech | YesResolved | $292 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$292 |