 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | No | $8.4K | 63¢ | 58¢ | -$673 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $6.4K | 88¢ | 85¢ | -$238 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $2.6K | 51¢ | 83¢ | +$1.6K |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $3.0K | 57¢ | 55¢ | -$96 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2.2K | 84¢ | 91¢ | +$158 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Politics | No | $1.3K | 84¢ | 90¢ | +$99 |
 Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Tech | Yes | $900 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$70 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $900 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$38 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $650 | 40¢ | 41¢ | +$8 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $560 | 56¢ | 56¢ | +$5 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1000 | 70¢ | 31¢ | -$557 |
 Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $179 | 29¢ | 67¢ | +$241 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Weather | No | $263 | 48¢ | 74¢ | +$140 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Culture | Yes | $370 | 74¢ | 75¢ | +$3 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $340 | 68¢ | 74¢ | +$30 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $300 | 71¢ | 68¢ | -$15 |
 Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $200 | 64¢ | 82¢ | +$55 |
 Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?Tech | No | $146 | 62¢ | 96¢ | +$78 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026?Politics | No | $204 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$8 |
 Will Trump deport 400-500k people?Politics | Yes | $91 | 23¢ | 50¢ | +$105 |
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | No | $106 | 71¢ | 89¢ | +$26 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | No | $200 | 66¢ | 43¢ | -$71 |
| Will Trump deport 500-600k people?Politics | Yes | $28 | 5.3¢ | 15¢ | +$55 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | No | $46 | 63¢ | 90¢ | +$20 |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Weather | No | $44 | 76¢ | 91¢ | +$8 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 3.0¢ | 4.9¢ | +$17 |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $108 | 5.8¢ | 2.1¢ | -$70 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $88 | 22¢ | 7.5¢ | -$58 |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Tech | No | $33 | 60¢ | 44¢ | -$9 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $10 | 22¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 23¢ | 34¢ | +$2 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2.0K | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.0K |
 Will Trump say "Mr. Speaker" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Mentions | YesResolved | $2.3K | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.3K |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $300 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $800 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$800 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $70 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
 Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $579 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$579 |
 Will Trump say "Objective" or "Goal" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?Mentions | NoResolved | $75 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3.0K | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.0K |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Mentions | NoResolved | $395 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$395 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $300 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $126 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |
 Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during March press conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $300 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
 Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?Politics | Leadership ChangeResolved | $200 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Trump say "Obama" during the State of the Union address?Mentions | NoResolved | $100 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $500 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$500 |
 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $300 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
| Will Trump say "Olympic" or "Olympics" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Mentions | NoResolved | $109 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$109 |
| Will Trump say "No No No" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Mentions | NoResolved | $814 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$814 |
| Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will Artemis II launch by April 30?Tech | NoResolved | $22 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Politics | YesResolved | $430 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$430 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $25 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Tech | YesResolved | $457 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$457 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1000 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1000 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $8 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Tech | YesResolved | $292 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$292 |