← Whale Watch

Bearballs

Predicting since Jan 202653 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$324.9¢0.0¢-$32
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1515¢0.0¢-$15
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2192.7¢0.0¢-$219
Will Mamdani say "Crisis" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?MentionsYesResolved$31.9¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Mamdani say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?MentionsYesResolved$302.0¢0.0¢-$30
Will the US strike Iran next?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$177.0¢0.0¢-$17
US strike on Mexico by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$12210.0¢0.0¢-$122
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$22.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will the US strike Mexico next?PoliticsYesResolved$91.8¢0.0¢-$9
Will the US strike Syria next?PoliticsNoResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will the US strike Venezuela next?PoliticsYesResolved$120.4¢0.0¢-$12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$50.6¢0.0¢-$5
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$335.8¢0.0¢-$33
Will the US strike Iraq next?PoliticsYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Mamdani say "Safe" or "Safety" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?MentionsYesResolved$34.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will Israel strike 1 country in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$343.3¢0.0¢-$34
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$101.1¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$100.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Russia capture Zarichne by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$41.1¢0.0¢-$4
Will the US strike Syria next?PoliticsYesResolved$50.2¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will the US strike Venezuela next?PoliticsYesResolved$60.3¢0.0¢-$6
Will Mamdani say "Subway" or "Transit" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?MentionsYesResolved$41.0¢0.0¢-$4
US strike on Mexico by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$211.5¢0.0¢-$21
Congress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$101.2¢0.0¢-$10
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$51.6¢0.0¢-$5
Will the US strike Mexico next?PoliticsYesResolved$232.6¢0.0¢-$23
Israel strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$156.0¢0.0¢-$15
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 11?PoliticsYesResolved$191.5¢0.0¢-$19
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$62.3¢0.0¢-$6
Will the US strike Syria next?PoliticsYesResolved$1512¢0.0¢-$15
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$101.4¢0.0¢-$10
Texas State Bobcats vs. Arkansas State Red WolvesBasketball (other)Texas State BobcatsResolved$417¢0.0¢-$4
Will the US strike Nigeria next?PoliticsYesResolved$20.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$42.8¢0.0¢-$4
Will the US strike Iraq next?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 3 WinnereSportsFukuoka SoftBank Hawks GamingResolved$14046¢0.0¢-$140

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$968
eSports-$139
Mentions-$40
Basketball (other)-$4
Biggest hit
+$56
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Toughest beat
-$132
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?

Recent moves

  • Bought Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 3 Winner$1404mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US strike on Mexico by March 31?$504mo ago
  • Sold Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs$214mo ago
  • Sold Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs$594mo ago
  • Sold Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs$104mo ago
  • Bought Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs$894mo ago
  • Sold No · US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$754mo ago
  • Sold No · US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$34mo ago
  • Sold No · US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$14mo ago
  • Sold No · US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$114mo ago
  • Bought No · US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$224mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US strike on Mexico by March 31?$204mo ago