Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | No | $412 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$15 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $321 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$10 |
Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?Politics | No | $263 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $245 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $208 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$6 |
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?Politics | No | $195 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $225 | 87¢ | 74¢ | -$34 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | No | $176 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $152 | 78¢ | 82¢ | +$7 |
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $157 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $272 in September?Finance | No | $145 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Politics | No | $136 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$10 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Politics | No | $134 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | No | $125 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$4 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $115 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $103 | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$15 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $102 | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$14 |
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $108 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech | No | $87 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$9 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Tech | No | $94 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Politics | No | $88 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$5 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $87 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $85 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$6 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $85 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in September?Finance | No | $78 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Politics | No | $75 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | No | $71 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $71 | 89¢ | 85¢ | -$4 |
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Politics | No | $65 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $67 | 96¢ | 94¢ | -$1 |
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Politics | Yes | $59 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$7 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | No | $44 | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$21 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $56 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $57 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | No | $56 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $51 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
OpenAI acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $52 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $47 | 79¢ | 84¢ | +$3 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $80 | 80¢ | 50¢ | -$30 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $45 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $46 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $45 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Politics | No | $45 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $44 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $45 | 76¢ | 72¢ | -$2 |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $56 | 93¢ | 71¢ | -$13 |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Finance | No | $37 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $40 | 80¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $38 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?Finance | No | $39 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30?Politics | No | $39 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $34 | 85¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $34 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?Finance | No | $30 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $29 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Politics | No | $24 | 79¢ | 90¢ | +$3 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $26 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | No | $26 | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $26 | 86¢ | 82¢ | -$1 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $27 | 91¢ | 68¢ | -$7 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $19 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $15 | 73¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $19 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $19 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $18 | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $16 | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $17 | 87¢ | 77¢ | -$2 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $26 | 86¢ | 45¢ | -$12 |
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | Yes | $13 | 64¢ | 52¢ | -$3 |