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NOIZYUV

Predicting since Feb 2026233 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $3.7K on Politics markets since Feb 2026.

Right now: $4.0K riding on Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?.

Biggest hit: +$1.4K on Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$4.0K35¢34¢-$154
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.1K68¢74¢+$108
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31PoliticsNo$50552¢69¢+$161
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$15652¢58¢+$18
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?PoliticsYes$15619¢19¢-$1
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$11338¢43¢+$15
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsYes$8715¢13¢-$15
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsYes$5321¢21¢+$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?PoliticsYes$505.6¢5.5¢-$1
Iran leadership change by September 30?PoliticsYes$309.0¢12¢+$8
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$557.8¢4.7¢-$22
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$224.7¢6.3¢+$7
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$204.3¢5.3¢+$4
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsYes$546.6¢2.6¢-$33
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$287.0¢5.1¢-$7
Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayOther sportsYes$2013¢13¢-$1
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsYes$305.7¢3.5¢-$12
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in July?EconomyYes$4034¢14¢-$23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$168.0¢8.0¢-$0
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?PoliticsYes$583.8¢0.9¢-$45
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsYes$735.7¢0.5¢-$66
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsYes$212.2¢0.5¢-$16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by July 31?PoliticsYes$101.9¢0.8¢-$6
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsYes$125.1¢1.5¢-$9
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?PoliticsYes$51.0¢0.4¢-$3
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$9310¢0.0¢-$93
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?World CupYesResolved$106.0¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$3.7K
NBA-$186
World Cup-$169
Economy-$133
Crypto-$69
Weather-$24
Finance+$4
Other sports-$1
Biggest hit
+$1.4K
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Toughest beat
-$589
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 27?$41h ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$21h ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$161h ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$481h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$102h ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$22h ago
  • Sold No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$754h ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$64h ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$246h ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$606h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$9510h ago
  • Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$13211h ago