← Whale Watch

truthteller

Predicting since Aug 20212,409 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $54K on Politics markets since Aug 2021.

Right now: $25K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$9.0K on Ansem vs. Barney.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$19K46¢41¢-$2.3K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$14K80¢80¢+$98
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$5.2K3.3¢8.8¢+$8.6K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$6.1K52¢47¢-$607
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$4.7K28¢30¢+$177
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$1.7K33¢44¢+$549
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsYes$1.2K66¢67¢+$12
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.3K34¢26¢-$323
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$96010¢8.1¢-$190
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$70716¢15¢-$16
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$49976¢80¢+$26
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$5093.9¢2.5¢-$181
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$25776¢81¢+$16
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$13031¢32¢+$2
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?EconomyYes$13148¢32¢-$45
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1111.3¢0.9¢-$27
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$16221¢7.5¢-$104
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$3954¢56¢+$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$3539¢43¢+$4
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$131.5¢1.7¢+$1
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$441¢83¢+$4
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsYes$617¢7.0¢-$4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$23.9¢3.5¢-$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?CryptoYesResolved$2588.0¢0.0¢-$258
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?CryptoYesResolved$1.1K5.3¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?CryptoNoResolved$11026¢0.0¢-$110
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?CryptoYesResolved$4.4K4.3¢0.0¢-$4.4K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?CryptoNoResolved$162.0¢0.0¢-$16
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?CryptoYesResolved$1.1K2.0¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?World CupNoResolved$1.2K44¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$14423¢0.0¢-$144
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?World CupNoResolved$95432¢0.0¢-$954
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?CryptoNoResolved$80.5¢0.0¢-$8
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 17?CryptoYesResolved$34010¢0.0¢-$340
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1200.1¢0.0¢-$120
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$1111¢0.0¢-$11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?CryptoNoResolved$871.0¢0.0¢-$87
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupBosnia and HerzegovinaResolved$53818¢0.0¢-$538
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?World CupYesResolved$27014¢0.0¢-$270
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?CryptoYesResolved$1454.2¢0.0¢-$145
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27?CryptoNoResolved$2562.5¢0.0¢-$256

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$54K
Culture-$5.4K
Other sports+$5.1K
World Cup-$3.3K
Crypto-$2.3K
Other-$1.8K
Finance-$1.2K
College Hoops-$480
Boxing+$347
Tech+$333
Economy+$328
Weather-$219
Biggest hit
+$9.0K
Ansem vs. Barney
Toughest beat
-$16K
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$3548m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$2.1K49m ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$7431h ago
  • Bought No · Fed rate hike in 2026?$1125h ago
  • Bought No · Fed rate hike in 2026?$9675h ago
  • Bought No · Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.9K5h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$366h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$896h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$27h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$97h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$2897h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$2977h ago