← Whale Watch

tradetosurvive1

Predicting since Jun 20266,491 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.2K on Finance markets since Jun 2026.

Right now: $643 across 17 Mentions markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Richard Carapaz be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsYes$16657¢99¢+$119
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 26?WeatherYes$2911¢99¢+$247
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 26?WeatherNo$24278¢86¢+$24
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 28?WeatherYes$23752¢53¢+$4
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?PoliticsYes$21973¢78¢+$15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?WeatherNo$13659¢100¢+$95
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsNo$22082¢82¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 26?WeatherNo$15972¢99¢+$62
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 26?WeatherNo$19243¢46¢+$10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 26?WeatherNo$18153¢54¢+$4
Will Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?MentionsYes$19376¢69¢-$19
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 26?WeatherNo$14887¢100¢+$22
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 26?WeatherNo$13080¢100¢+$33
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 27?WeatherNo$16865¢61¢-$11
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on July 26?WeatherYes$15647¢48¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 27?WeatherNo$14278¢81¢+$6
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 26?WeatherNo$16580¢71¢-$20
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 26?WeatherNo$9469¢100¢+$43
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next gaming YouTube video?MentionsNo$12989¢91¢+$2
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?TechNo$5542¢100¢+$74
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during Michigan remarks?MentionsYes$13389¢85¢-$6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 26?WeatherNo$7358¢100¢+$52
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 26?WeatherNo$7560¢100¢+$50
Will SoundHound AI (SOUN) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$8844¢62¢+$35
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?EconomyYes$13441¢37¢-$13
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 26?WeatherNo$7362¢100¢+$44
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 26?WeatherNo$11194¢98¢+$5
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 26?WeatherNo$11385¢85¢-$1
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?CultureNo$21441¢21¢-$104
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 26?WeatherNo$10378¢83¢+$6
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 26?WeatherNo$8175¢100¢+$27
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 26?WeatherNo$6964¢100¢+$38
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 26?WeatherNo$6555¢91¢+$41
Will Paul Seixas win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?OtherNo$7776¢100¢+$25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceYes$11921¢18¢-$17
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 26?WeatherNo$8677¢91¢+$15
Will MrBeast say "Darius" during his next gaming YouTube video?MentionsNo$9290¢97¢+$7
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 27?WeatherNo$10557¢52¢-$9
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 27?WeatherNo$9941¢40¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 27?WeatherNo$8070¢83¢+$14
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 26?WeatherNo$7075¢100¢+$24
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$8878¢80¢+$2
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 26?WeatherNo$9971¢64¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 27?WeatherNo$9762¢57¢-$7
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 28?WeatherYes$9139¢38¢-$3
Will CopperTech Metals not IPO before September 2026?TechYes$7988¢99¢+$9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 26?WeatherNo$8366¢69¢+$5
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 27?WeatherYes$9047¢46¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 26?WeatherYes$6576¢100¢+$20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 26?WeatherYes$2932¢95¢+$56
Will Trump say "Golden Dome" this week?MentionsNo$7789¢96¢+$7
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 27?WeatherNo$8071¢74¢+$3
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 27?WeatherNo$7685¢93¢+$7
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 26?WeatherNo$7861¢64¢+$4
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 26?WeatherNo$7287¢97¢+$8
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 26?WeatherNo$7274¢81¢+$7
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 27?WeatherYes$9342¢36¢-$14
Will Fidelity Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$8581¢75¢-$7
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 26?WeatherNo$5876¢100¢+$19
Will Studio Ghibli announce a new project at SDCC 2026?CultureYes$8732¢28¢-$13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 26?WeatherNo$4562¢100¢+$28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$10524¢16¢-$33
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 27?WeatherYes$7837¢34¢-$7
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July?FinanceYes$9665¢47¢-$26
Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$6028¢33¢+$10
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 26?WeatherNo$7880¢71¢-$9
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$7361¢57¢-$5
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 27?WeatherNo$7456¢52¢-$5
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?PoliticsYes$6275¢82¢+$6
Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$5772¢85¢+$10
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?TechNo$6683¢83¢+$0
Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$12641¢22¢-$60
Will Meta (META) Q2 capital expenditures (including principal payments on finance leases) be above $35B?FinanceNo$10788¢54¢-$42
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 27?WeatherNo$6877¢73¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 28?WeatherNo$6374¢76¢+$2
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?TechNo$6120¢21¢+$3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 28?WeatherNo$6371¢72¢+$1
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$10223¢14¢-$38
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 27?WeatherNo$6779¢75¢-$4
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?FinanceYes$11229¢17¢-$49
Welltower (WELL) Q2 same store NOI (SSNOI) growth 15%-18%?FinanceYes$5258¢69¢+$11
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?EconomyNo$5254¢64¢+$10
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 28?WeatherNo$5575¢84¢+$6
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 28?WeatherYes$6836¢32¢-$7
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 26?WeatherNo$6571¢66¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 26?WeatherNo$7078¢67¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 27?WeatherYes$6935¢30¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 26?WeatherNo$9749¢30¢-$38
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?EconomyYes$6226¢25¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 27?WeatherNo$6078¢76¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 27?WeatherNo$5679¢82¢+$2
Reya FDV above $40M one day after launch?CryptoYes$9781¢49¢-$39
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$5573¢77¢+$3
Will Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$6171¢67¢-$3
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?MentionsYes$5653¢54¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on July 26?WeatherNo$5959¢57¢-$2
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?CultureYes$4667¢83¢+$11
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 27?WeatherNo$5472¢76¢+$3
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?TechNo$11044¢23¢-$54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?FinanceYes$5291¢99¢+$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Finance-$1.2K
Politics-$928
World Cup-$535
Culture-$493
Mentions-$452
Economy-$290
Weather-$220
eSports+$180
Tech-$123
NHL-$116
Crypto-$88
Other sports+$48
Biggest hit
+$176
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs
Toughest beat
-$127
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 28?$11m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 27?$21m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 27?$131m ago
  • Bought No · Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?$11m ago
  • Bought No · Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?$141m ago
  • Bought No · Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?$141m ago
  • Bought No · Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?$22m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 27?$53m ago
  • Bought No · Will Boeing say "Program" during earnings call?$23m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 27?$353m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 28?$74m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 28?$44m ago