tobiasos

Predicting since Jan 202627 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Tech	YesResolved	$10	4.7¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$35	1.7¢	0.0¢	-$35
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$10	33¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?Crypto	YesResolved	$10	12¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech	YesResolved	$10	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$10	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1?Crypto	YesResolved	$35	18¢	0.0¢	-$35
VEO 4 released by March 31, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$10	3.7¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$10	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$10	3.3¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$10	12¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?Crypto	YesResolved	$8	3.6¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Tech	YesResolved	$10	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$20	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$10	5.9¢	0.0¢	-$10
Negative GDP growth in 2025?Economy	YesResolved	$1	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	1.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Tech	YesResolved	$5	2.6¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on April 10, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$1	1.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$20	20¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?Tech	YesResolved	$10	9.8¢	0.0¢	-$10
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?Tech	YesResolved	$10	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy	YesResolved	$10	14¢	0.0¢	-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$64

Crypto+$48

Politics-$42

Economy-$11

Biggest hit

+$101

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Toughest beat

-$1

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Recent moves

Bought No · Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on April 10, 2026?$13mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$103mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?$54mo ago
Bought Yes · Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$54mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$104mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?$204mo ago
Sold No · Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$494mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$104mo ago
Bought Yes · Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?$104mo ago
Bought Yes · VEO 4 released by March 31, 2026?$104mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$104mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$104mo ago