← Whale Watch

lefort3surgery

Predicting since Mar 2026297 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $12K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $7.8K across 4 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.2K on Will Iran strike UAE again in March?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsYes$769.1¢5.2¢-$33
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?PoliticsYes$165.3¢2.1¢-$9
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$61.8¢0.7¢-$4
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$72.5¢0.0¢-$7
Will JD Vance say "Trump" during meetings with Orbán?MentionsNoResolved$4614¢0.0¢-$46
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$76.9¢0.0¢-$7
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?TechNoResolved$6146¢0.0¢-$61
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Other sportsYesResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Love Trump" or "Loves Trump" in April?MentionsYesResolved$769¢0.0¢-$7
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$106.5¢0.0¢-$10
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$1212¢0.0¢-$12
Netanyahu out by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$518¢0.0¢-$5
Will JD Vance say "Venezuela" during meetings with Orbán?MentionsYesResolved$44.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?CultureYesResolved$527¢0.0¢-$5
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?PoliticsNoResolved$610¢0.0¢-$6
Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$811¢0.0¢-$8
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2828¢0.0¢-$28
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Monday news conference?MentionsNoResolved$8121¢0.0¢-$81
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Other sportsYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Dominance" or "Superiority" during Monday news conference?MentionsYesResolved$2618¢0.0¢-$26
Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Other sportsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$1325¢0.0¢-$13
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.8K62¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?FinanceYesResolved$2423¢0.0¢-$24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$954¢0.0¢-$9
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?PoliticsNoResolved$251.0¢0.0¢-$25
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$88.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will Trump say "Dark cloud" this week? (April 5)MentionsYesResolved$22.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will JD Vance say "Nuclear" during meetings with Orbán?MentionsNoResolved$449¢0.0¢-$4
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$279.1¢0.0¢-$27
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$9256¢0.0¢-$92
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$351¢0.0¢-$3
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$2070¢0.0¢-$20
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 12?PoliticsNoResolved$85.7¢0.0¢-$8
Will JD Vance say "Hungary" or "Hungarian" 8+ times during meetings with Orbán?MentionsNoResolved$629¢0.0¢-$6
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?PoliticsLeadership ChangeResolved$546¢0.0¢-$5
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$562.4¢0.0¢-$56
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?PoliticsNoResolved$42.3¢0.0¢-$4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$40.8¢0.0¢-$4
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5052¢0.0¢-$50
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?CultureYesResolved$121.2¢0.0¢-$12
Will JD Vance say "Biden" 5+ times during meetings with Orbán?MentionsYesResolved$35.0¢0.0¢-$3
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$3281¢0.0¢-$32
Will Trump say "Hamas" or "Hezbollah" this week? (April 5)MentionsYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "UFC" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?MentionsYesResolved$327.4¢0.0¢-$32
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$49248¢0.0¢-$492
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$6.0K29¢0.0¢-$6.0K
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$4022¢0.0¢-$40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$2222¢0.0¢-$22
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?CultureYesResolved$1611¢0.0¢-$16
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$8016¢0.0¢-$80
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$113.5¢0.0¢-$11
Will Trump say "Hot as a pistol" this week? (April 5)MentionsYesResolved$14.5¢0.0¢-$1
Netanyahu out by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2561.3¢0.0¢-$256
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$1617¢0.0¢-$16
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2882.6¢0.0¢-$288
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2650¢0.0¢-$26
Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$109.9¢0.0¢-$10
Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Other sportsYesResolved$31.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will anyone say "Morty" 10+ times during Rick and Morty E4 S9?MentionsNoResolved$711¢0.0¢-$7
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$30.1¢0.0¢-$3
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?PoliticsNoResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$189.0¢0.0¢-$18
Will Trump say "Make a Deal" during Monday news conference?MentionsNoResolved$9933¢0.0¢-$99
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$510.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Construction" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?MentionsYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2023¢0.0¢-$20
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$1.3K62¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?MentionsYesResolved$1721¢0.0¢-$17
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?CultureYesResolved$112.1¢0.0¢-$11
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?MentionsYesResolved$5213¢0.0¢-$52
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?CultureYesResolved$61.6¢0.0¢-$6
Kash Patel out by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$929¢0.0¢-$9
Will Trump say "Jesus Christ" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?MentionsYesResolved$23058¢0.0¢-$230
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$76.7¢0.0¢-$7
Will the first eaglet hatch on April 11, 2026?CultureNoResolved$109.6¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump say "Moon" during Monday news conference?MentionsYesResolved$1830¢0.0¢-$18
Netanyahu out by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$412¢0.0¢-$4
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?PoliticsNoResolved$18584¢0.0¢-$185
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$48.0¢0.0¢-$4
Spurs vs. KnicksNBAKnicksResolved$3232¢0.0¢-$32

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$12K
eSports-$2.1K
Culture-$516
Crypto-$461
Mentions+$197
Cricket-$188
Tech-$80
Finance-$69
NBA+$62
Weather-$29
Soccer (other)-$16
Other sports-$5
Biggest hit
+$1.2K
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
Toughest beat
-$2.1K
BitBoy convicted?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$201mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Netanyahu out by end of 2026?$331mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$131mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$141mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$11mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$11mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$11mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$11mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$11mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$11mo ago
  • Bought No · US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$101mo ago
  • Bought No · US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$801mo ago