NerfMe

Predicting since Aug 202552 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Tech	Yes	$10	37¢	7.5¢	-$8
GPT transaction fees by December 31?Tech	NoResolved	$3	83¢	0.0¢	-$3
US government shutdown by October 1?Politics	NoResolved	$11	27¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Tech	NoResolved	$35	6.5¢	0.0¢	-$35
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$3	2.6¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Brad Pitt be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture	YesResolved	$2	16¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$7	14¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during announcement today?Mentions	YesResolved	$4	18¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will XRP reach $3.10 in October?Crypto	YesResolved	$6	32¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Tech	NoResolved	$5	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	2.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$13	5.5¢	0.0¢	-$13
Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-10-01?Champions League	YesResolved	$1	12¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$5	6.1¢	0.0¢	-$5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)eSports	G2 EsportsResolved	$5	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Russia announces air truce by September 30?Politics	YesResolved	$1	4.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will PARIVISION win The International 2025 Tournament?eSports	YesResolved	$20	26¢	0.0¢	-$20
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Valentin VacherotTennis	NorrieResolved	$5	54¢	0.0¢	-$5
Flames vs. OilersNHL	OilersResolved	$4	40¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto	YesResolved	$3	15¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	NoResolved	$13	32¢	0.0¢	-$13
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?Politics	YesResolved	$42	26¢	0.0¢	-$42
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$2	0.6¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will MrBeast say "Secret" during his next video?Mentions	YesResolved	$2	50¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?Tech	YesResolved	$4	2.5¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	41¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto	YesResolved	$6	62¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Solana reach $240 in October?Crypto	YesResolved	$11	36¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will XRP reach $3.80 in October?Crypto	YesResolved	$4	18¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?Politics	NoResolved	$2	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$71

NBA+$30

Politics+$27

Golf+$21

Other sports+$13

MLB+$11

Crypto+$8

Culture-$7

eSports+$7

Mentions-$6

Tennis-$5

NHL-$4

Biggest hit

+$71

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?

Toughest beat

-$9

Will "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$55mo ago
Bought Yes · Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$35mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?$405mo ago
Bought No · Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$157mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?$127mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?$07mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?$57mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?$107mo ago
Bought No · Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$208mo ago
Bought Norrie · Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Valentin Vacherot$59mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?$19mo ago
Bought Yes · OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$109mo ago