Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $100 | 49¢ | 47¢ | -$5 |
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?MLB | No | $16 | 40¢ | 66¢ | +$10 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $21 | 39¢ | 38¢ | -$1 |
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?MLB | U 84.5 | $14 | 71¢ | 90¢ | +$4 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Politics | Yes | $17 | 58¢ | 49¢ | -$3 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Politics | Yes | $18 | 60¢ | 40¢ | -$6 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $13 | 85¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?MLB | No | $12 | 62¢ | 58¢ | -$1 |
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Politics | Yes | $13 | 67¢ | 55¢ | -$2 |
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | Anthropic | $6 | 62¢ | 89¢ | +$3 |
Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title?MLB | Yes | $6 | 31¢ | 43¢ | +$2 |
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $10 | 51¢ | 40¢ | -$2 |
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?MLB | U 99.5 | $10 | 52¢ | 32¢ | -$4 |
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $20 | 10¢ | 3.1¢ | -$14 |
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $10 | 50¢ | 30¢ | -$4 |
Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?Other | Yes | $12 | 78¢ | 36¢ | -$6 |
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Politics | Yes | $5 | 53¢ | 51¢ | -$0 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 60¢ | 27¢ | -$6 |
Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings?UFC / MMA | No | $9 | 70¢ | 27¢ | -$6 |
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | Yes | $3 | 54¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?Politics | Yes | $13 | 45¢ | 9.5¢ | -$11 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 9.0¢ | 8.5¢ | -$0 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 17¢ | 16¢ | -$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Finance | No | $5 | 60¢ | 31¢ | -$2 |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 14¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Tech | YesResolved | $12 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 6?Finance | YesResolved | $32 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?Weather | YesResolved | $14 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?Tech | YesResolved | $11 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 PlayoffseSports | ShindeNResolved | $2 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC PlayoffseSports | Team VitalityResolved | $8 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 6?Finance | DownResolved | $1 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?Culture | YesResolved | $6 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 8?Finance | YesResolved | $27 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $7.0B and $8.5B at market close on IPO day?Finance | YesResolved | $19 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will Sabrina Carpenter be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?Culture | NoResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $700M and $900M at market close on IPO day?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $6 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will AutoZone Q3 domestic same store sales growth be between 4.5% and 5.5%?Finance | YesResolved | $15 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Vamos vs Team Flash (BO3) - MPL Malaysia Regular SeasoneSports | Team FlashResolved | $5 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?NHL | YesResolved | $4 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $20 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 3 WinnereSports | Nongshim RedForceResolved | $11 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?Finance | UpResolved | $13 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnereSports | Weibo GamingResolved | $15 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Eugene Weems advance from the CA-33 primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 8?Finance | DownResolved | $0 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 5?Weather | YesResolved | $12 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?Finance | UpResolved | $7 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 8?Finance | DownResolved | $6 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 50 and 74 points?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in May?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump announce Michael Ellis as the next Director of National Intelligence?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be below -1%?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 3?Weather | YesResolved | $8 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Israel come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 4 WinnereSports | Global EsportsResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Omega - Map 1 WinnereSports | ALGO EsportsResolved | $10 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
OthereSports | YesResolved | $17 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group BeSports | MASONICResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnereSports | Weibo GamingResolved | $15 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: AC Esports vs RRQ Tora (BO3) - MPL Malaysia Regular SeasoneSports | RRQ ToraResolved | $20 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 WinnereSports | Ninjas in PyjamasResolved | $29 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
Valorant: Joblife vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - VCL EMEA: PlayoffseSports | JoblifeResolved | $11 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election by between 20% and 30%?Politics | YesResolved | $28 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 4?Finance | YesResolved | $30 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Jimmy Panetta advance from the CA-19 primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. CheddyGolf | CheddyResolved | $5 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?Crypto | YesResolved | $15 | 97¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2eSports | HANJIN BRIONResolved | $2 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 8?Finance | YesResolved | $12 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of May 4 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $5 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnereSports | Team VitalityResolved | $7 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 6?Finance | DownResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $3 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July?eSports | YesResolved | $6 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Galorys - Map 1 WinnereSports | GalorysResolved | $3 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Dan Stroud advance from the CA-05 primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageeSports | OGResolved | $4 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $6 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be at least $500M at market close on IPO day?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?Culture | YesResolved | $14 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Kinoa (BO3) - United21 PlayoffseSports | KinoaResolved | $10 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be less than 25 points?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 8?Finance | UpResolved | $13 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |