 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $492 | 82¢ | 67¢ | -$93 |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?Economy | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 62¢ | +$369 |
| Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?NFL | No | $343 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$6 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 78¢ | +$308 |
 Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?Tech | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 86¢ | +$229 |
 Will Jeremy Strong be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $240 | 92¢ | 86¢ | -$16 |
 Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?Economy | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 78¢ | +$223 |
 Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 50¢ | +$190 |
 Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 82¢ | +$150 |
| Will the season series between the Bills and Jets end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 34¢ | +$150 |
 Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 76¢ | +$143 |
| Will Raquel Carter win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 71¢ | +$137 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Economy | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 44¢ | +$120 |
 Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 55¢ | +$115 |
 Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Other sports | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 84¢ | +$111 |
 Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 51¢ | +$102 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 69¢ | +$100 |
| Will Iowa have the closest Governor's race in 2026?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 88¢ | +$96 |
 Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 68¢ | +$95 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 74¢ | +$94 |
 Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 25¢ | +$94 |
| Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 47¢ | +$84 |
 Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 81¢ | +$81 |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Economy | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 69¢ | +$77 |
 Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 54¢ | +$70 |
 Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 80¢ | +$67 |
 Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 63¢ | +$66 |
 OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 72¢ | +$64 |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 76¢ | +$63 |
 Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 87¢ | +$59 |
 Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 63¢ | +$59 |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $53 | 28¢ | 31¢ | +$6 |
| Will Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?Culture | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 77¢ | +$57 |
| Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 39¢ | +$52 |
 Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | No | $45 | 77¢ | 84¢ | +$4 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 89¢ | +$48 |
 Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 7.8¢ | +$45 |
| Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 11¢ | +$43 |
 Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 37¢ | +$39 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 56¢ | +$39 |
 Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?Finance | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 77¢ | +$38 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 9.5¢ | +$38 |
 Will Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce?Soccer (other) | No | $40 | 90¢ | 86¢ | -$2 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Culture | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 23¢ | +$37 |
| Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 53¢ | +$37 |
 Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?Economy | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 16¢ | +$36 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 67¢ | +$35 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 12, 2026?Politics | No | $36 | 90¢ | 86¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 69¢ | +$33 |
 Will Philadelphia Waterdogs be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion?Other sports | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 66¢ | +$33 |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 27¢ | +$32 |
| Will "Pluribus" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?Culture | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 62¢ | +$31 |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 31¢ | +$27 |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 44¢ | +$27 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 72¢ | +$26 |
 Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?Economy | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 17¢ | +$26 |
| Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 34¢ | +$25 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 10¢ | +$25 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 6.0¢ | +$24 |
 Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?Crypto | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 4.9¢ | +$24 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 28¢ | +$24 |
| Will Michelle Romero win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 13¢ | +$23 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 43¢ | +$23 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 28¢ | +$23 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 41¢ | +$23 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-05 House seat?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 11¢ | +$22 |
| Will the season series between the Cardinals and 49ers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 17¢ | +$22 |
 French election called by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 11¢ | +$21 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 13¢ | +$21 |
 Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 3.1¢ | +$18 |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 34¢ | +$17 |
 Will Trump praise Roger Penske in August?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 33¢ | +$17 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 13, 2026?Politics | No | $19 | 93¢ | 86¢ | -$2 |
| Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?Culture | Yes | $190 | 45¢ | 4.0¢ | -$173 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 16¢ | +$16 |
 Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2028?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 80¢ | +$16 |
 Will Russia capture Svitle by August 31?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 10¢ | +$15 |
| Will the 49ers win the season series against the Rams during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 14¢ | +$15 |
| Will Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?Culture | No | $18 | 91¢ | 72¢ | -$4 |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 68¢ | +$14 |
 Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 45¢ | +$13 |
 Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 13¢ | +$13 |
| Will Requião Filho win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 2.1¢ | +$13 |
 Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2028?Politics | No | $14 | 90¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
 Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 56¢ | +$12 |
| Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 57¢ | +$12 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 7.5¢ | +$11 |
| Will Betmoar launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 7.0¢ | +$11 |
 Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 0.75%?Economy | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 4.4¢ | +$11 |
 Blue tsunami in 2026?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 55¢ | +$10 |
| Will Forza Horizon 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?Other sports | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 51¢ | +$10 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 28, 2026?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 8.0¢ | +$10 |
 Will Rodri be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Other sports | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 1.8¢ | +$10 |
 Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 25¢ | +$9 |
 Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 6.5¢ | +$9 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 16¢ | +$8 |
 Will United Russia win the next Krasnoyarsk Krai Parliament elections?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 2.1¢ | +$8 |
 Will the Chicago White Sox hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLB | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 4.1¢ | +$8 |
 Ostium FDV above $75M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 13¢ | +$8 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 5.5¢ | +$8 |
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