← Whale Watch

apmt

Predicting since Nov 2025106 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $60K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $38K riding on Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$13K on Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$38K83¢96¢+$5.8K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$18K81¢86¢+$1.0K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$12K42¢43¢+$24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$11K80¢84¢+$463
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$10K85¢88¢+$318
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$9.4K63¢68¢+$625
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$11K78¢73¢-$700
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$7.1K69¢77¢+$819
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$7.1K85¢84¢-$152
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$5.4K83¢99¢+$1.0K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$4.9K65¢67¢+$151
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$3.0K76¢95¢+$738
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2.1K11¢16¢+$809
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsNo$2.0K81¢94¢+$312
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$92883¢66¢-$193
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$66179¢66¢-$108
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$54673¢73¢+$1
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$46593¢96¢+$15
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4598.6¢8.8¢+$13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$39039¢44¢+$45
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$3285.7¢4.1¢-$92
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$22044¢44¢-$3
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$14773¢99¢+$51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$7171¢81¢+$10
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$8093¢93¢-$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$3969¢81¢+$6
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$13738¢7.9¢-$108
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$51565¢2.6¢-$494
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsYes$439¢40¢+$0
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?PoliticsNoResolved$586.0¢0.0¢-$58
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?PoliticsYesResolved$2727¢0.0¢-$27
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?PoliticsYesResolved$15714¢0.0¢-$157
Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?PoliticsYesResolved$1329¢0.0¢-$13
Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?PoliticsYesResolved$6629¢0.0¢-$66
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?PoliticsYesResolved$36120¢0.0¢-$361
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 50%?PoliticsNoResolved$46231¢0.0¢-$462

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$60K
Culture+$704
Tech-$158
Biggest hit
+$13K
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Toughest beat
-$6.5K
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · US strike on Cuba by December 31?$672m ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$772h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$13h ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.2K3h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$2493h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$4573h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$2.2K3h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$2.2K4h ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4965h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$16h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$16h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$13411h ago