aaronlew

Predicting since May 2025126 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.4K on Politics markets since May 2025.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$12	35¢	0.0¢	-$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$30	77¢	0.0¢	-$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	25¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?Politics	YesResolved	$221	11¢	0.0¢	-$221
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$105	53¢	0.0¢	-$105
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$3	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$3
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$194	8.9¢	0.0¢	-$194
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$6	19¢	0.0¢	-$6
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Politics	YesResolved	$6	2.7¢	0.0¢	-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$70	60¢	0.0¢	-$70
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$70	78¢	0.0¢	-$70
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$10	63¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$10	20¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$10	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$20	26¢	0.0¢	-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$30	39¢	0.0¢	-$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$50	44¢	0.0¢	-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$40	33¢	0.0¢	-$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$10	12¢	0.0¢	-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$2.4K

Crypto-$122

Mentions+$5

Finance-$3

Tech+$1

Biggest hit

+$198

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Toughest beat

-$1.6K

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$214mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$214mo ago
Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$44mo ago
Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$904mo ago
Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$104mo ago
Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$504mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$104mo ago
Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$204mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$54mo ago
Sold Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$74mo ago
Sold Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$34mo ago
Sold Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$14mo ago