Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Iran leadership change by August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Jess Phillips be in the Burnham cabinet?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Al Carns be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will "The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenBoxing | RicoResolved | $29 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Kai and Speed have between 70 and 89 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 25, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Over $60M committed to the RipCars public sale?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will at least 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Megaquake by June 30?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Kai and Speed have between 10 and 29 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | NoResolved | $3 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 29, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Kai or Speed die to a skeleton?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | YesResolved | $2 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Laurence Fox get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
ITF Sao Paulo: Luciana Moyano vs Daria EgorovaTennis | Luciana MoyanoResolved | $1 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 27, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Brazil bans Discord by August 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | NoResolved | $1 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Jorge Jesus attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trey Gowdy be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 11?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Kai or Speed die to a pillager?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |