 Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?Economy | No | $891 | 86¢ | 84¢ | -$24 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $896 | 43¢ | 42¢ | -$32 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $744 | 48¢ | 47¢ | -$30 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?Politics | No | $617 | 83¢ | 82¢ | -$5 |
 Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $630 | 53¢ | 48¢ | -$63 |
 Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Politics | Yes | $543 | 69¢ | 69¢ | -$6 |
 Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $523 | 52¢ | 52¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-12 House seat?Politics | No | $475 | 83¢ | 83¢ | +$3 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $359 | 27¢ | 35¢ | +$106 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?Politics | No | $422 | 80¢ | 86¢ | +$33 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat?Politics | Yes | $450 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$5 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?Economy | No | $384 | 29¢ | 34¢ | +$70 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat?Politics | No | $440 | 84¢ | 83¢ | -$9 |
 Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Politics | Yes | $313 | 76¢ | 81¢ | +$21 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $332 | 74¢ | 74¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?Politics | Yes | $294 | 73¢ | 77¢ | +$17 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $282 | 76¢ | 75¢ | -$4 |
 Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Economy | No | $263 | 61¢ | 61¢ | -$4 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Economy | No | $287 | 71¢ | 63¢ | -$33 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-04 House seat?Politics | No | $233 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$9 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-17 House seat?Politics | No | $238 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $150 | 49¢ | 77¢ | +$84 |
| Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?Politics | Yes | $213 | 66¢ | 72¢ | +$21 |
 Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Politics | No | $179 | 69¢ | 88¢ | +$48 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-12 House seat?Politics | No | $201 | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?Politics | Yes | $182 | 71¢ | 76¢ | +$12 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat?Politics | Yes | $144 | 83¢ | 82¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?Politics | Yes | $134 | 50¢ | 51¢ | +$2 |
 Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Politics | Yes | $128 | 72¢ | 72¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?Politics | Yes | $120 | 63¢ | 65¢ | +$3 |
 Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Politics | Yes | $120 | 52¢ | 53¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?Politics | Yes | $115 | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Politics | No | $113 | 55¢ | 54¢ | -$2 |
 Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Politics | Yes | $89 | 66¢ | 81¢ | +$19 |
 Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Culture | Yes | $81 | 15¢ | 19¢ | +$20 |
| Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?Politics | Yes | $85 | 42¢ | 43¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?Politics | Yes | $83 | 61¢ | 62¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?Politics | Yes | $67 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?Politics | No | $65 | 79¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
 Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Politics | No | $55 | 51¢ | 52¢ | +$1 |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Economy | No | $54 | 68¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
 Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $51 | 43¢ | 43¢ | -$0 |
 Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?Politics | Yes | $96 | 14¢ | 7.0¢ | -$47 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?Politics | Yes | $51 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?Politics | No | $43 | 74¢ | 78¢ | +$2 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $31 | 23¢ | 33¢ | +$14 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-18 House seat?Politics | Yes | $44 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?Politics | Yes | $41 | 79¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
 Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?Politics | Yes | $39 | 45¢ | 46¢ | +$1 |
 Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader?Politics | Yes | $33 | 5.1¢ | 5.9¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat?Politics | No | $36 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $38 | 67¢ | 56¢ | -$6 |
 Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $37 | 19¢ | 17¢ | -$5 |
 Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?Politics | Yes | $27 | 19¢ | 21¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?Politics | Yes | $25 | 78¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
 Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | No | $28 | 28¢ | 27¢ | -$2 |
 Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $22 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
 Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06?Politics | Yes | $19 | 66¢ | 71¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | Yes | $21 | 26¢ | 26¢ | -$0 |
 Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Politics | No | $18 | 40¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?Politics | Yes | $16 | 76¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Culture | Yes | $14 | 23¢ | 24¢ | +$0 |
 Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Politics | Yes | $9 | 17¢ | 26¢ | +$4 |
 Will Rashida Tlaib be the MI-12 Democratic nominee?Politics | No | $31 | 5.7¢ | 2.5¢ | -$17 |
 Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?Politics | Yes | $11 | 43¢ | 49¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat?Politics | Yes | $10 | 84¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?Politics | No | $13 | 8.7¢ | 7.4¢ | -$2 |
 Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | No | $10 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 10¢ | 17¢ | +$3 |
 Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Culture | Yes | $2 | 24¢ | 96¢ | +$6 |
 Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?Politics | Yes | $15 | 28¢ | 15¢ | -$7 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OR-03 House seat?Politics | Yes | $6 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 22¢ | 16¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat?Politics | Yes | $6 | 79¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics | Yes | $5 | 56¢ | 59¢ | +$0 |
 Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $20 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$16 |
 Will Ann Wagner be the MO-02 Republican nominee?Politics | No | $5 | 1.1¢ | 1.1¢ | -$0 |
 SHEIN IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $4 | 9.9¢ | 12¢ | +$1 |
 Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06?Politics | Yes | $4 | 20¢ | 20¢ | +$0 |
 Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics | No | $3 | 63¢ | 59¢ | -$0 |
 Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 5.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$0 |
 Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 82¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | No | $2 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?Politics | No | $2 | 9.0¢ | 8.1¢ | -$0 |
 Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?Politics | No | $2 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 76¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
 Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $1 | 82¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?Politics | No | $1 | 79¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
Sold Yes · Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?$217h ago