← Whale Watch

isildursheir

Predicting since Nov 2024667 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$755¢68¢+$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$425¢42¢+$3
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$637¢41¢+$1
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$844¢34¢-$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$354¢99¢+$3
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$342¢73¢+$2
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$540¢41¢+$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$355¢88¢+$2
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$368¢100¢+$1
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$29.5¢21¢+$2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$714¢8.5¢-$3
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$326¢37¢+$1
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?TechYes$355¢74¢+$1
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$421¢21¢-$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$480¢80¢-$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$423¢21¢-$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$26.9¢12¢+$2
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?PoliticsNo$363¢71¢+$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsYes$522¢14¢-$2
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?PoliticsYes$343¢45¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsNo$552¢30¢-$2
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsYes$222¢32¢+$1
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$29.5¢12¢+$1
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$353¢44¢-$1
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$318¢14¢-$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsNo$449¢27¢-$2
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$213¢14¢+$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$215¢14¢-$0
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$265¢56¢-$0
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?PoliticsYes$364¢34¢-$1
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$16.1¢8.8¢+$0
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?CryptoNo$169¢95¢+$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$27.2¢4.8¢-$1
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsNo$175¢99¢+$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$148¢56¢+$0
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$289¢51¢-$1
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$140¢44¢+$0
Ethereum above $2,700 on May 23?CryptoYesResolved$138¢0.0¢-$1
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?Champions LeagueYesResolved$358¢0.0¢-$3
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?World CupYesResolved$227¢0.0¢-$2
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$254¢0.0¢-$2
Iran coup attempt by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$220¢0.0¢-$2
Will FC Porto win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?Other sportsYesResolved$241¢0.0¢-$2
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$252¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?CryptoNoResolved$824¢0.0¢-$8
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1400 and $1500 on Apr 18?CryptoYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will a club from England win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other)NoResolved$372¢0.0¢-$3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$555¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $87000 on Mar 21?CryptoYesResolved$231¢0.0¢-$2
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$358¢0.0¢-$3
Will Real Madrid finish first in UCL league phase?Champions LeagueYesResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Olympique Marseille vs. Ajax Amsterdam end in a draw?Champions LeagueYesResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down on April 5?CryptoUpResolved$153¢0.0¢-$1
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$217¢0.0¢-$2
Will Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona end in a draw?La LigaYesResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$224¢0.0¢-$2
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?CryptoNoResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$317¢0.0¢-$3
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?World CupYesResolved$273¢0.0¢-$2
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$328¢0.0¢-$3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$416¢0.0¢-$4
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? PoliticsNoResolved$181¢0.0¢-$1
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$358¢0.0¢-$3
Copa Del Rey: Barcelona vs. Atlético Madrid (To Advance)La LigaAtlético MadridResolved$147¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum above $2,500 on June 6?CryptoNoResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?PoliticsNoResolved$453¢0.0¢-$4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1019¢0.0¢-$10
Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?World CupYesResolved$236¢0.0¢-$2
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$155¢0.0¢-$1
Will Hakan Çalhanoğlu score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?Champions LeagueYesResolved$321¢0.0¢-$3
Will Coinbase list $TRUMP in January?CryptoNoResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ethereum reach $2200 in April?CryptoYesResolved$15.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?Champions LeagueYesResolved$148¢0.0¢-$1
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYesResolved$170¢0.0¢-$1
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2
Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $110000 on May 16?CryptoYesResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bitcoin be between $94000 and $96000 on February 14?CryptoYesResolved$333¢0.0¢-$3
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$349¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld CupFranceResolved$750¢0.0¢-$7
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?PoliticsYesResolved$42.9¢0.0¢-$4
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$387¢0.0¢-$3
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?PoliticsNoResolved$290.6¢0.0¢-$29
Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?PoliticsYesResolved$178¢0.0¢-$1
Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?La LigaYesResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$232¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$131¢0.0¢-$1
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10?Champions LeagueYesResolved$141¢0.0¢-$1
Will Vinícius Júnior win the Golden Ball at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other)YesResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$245¢0.0¢-$2
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$134¢0.0¢-$1
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?TechYesResolved$173¢0.0¢-$1
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$355¢0.0¢-$3
Will Sevilla vs. Barcelona end in a draw?La LigaYesResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$240¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup-$56
Crypto-$33
Politics-$29
La Liga-$19
Champions League-$14
eSports+$13
Soccer (other)-$5
Tech-$4
Other sports-$3
Culture-$2
Economy+$1
Weather+$1
Biggest hit
+$23
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?
Toughest beat
-$13
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?$121h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$13d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 15, 2026?$24d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$25d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?$25d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?$25d ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$55d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46d ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$48d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$28d ago