Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $216 | 49¢ | 86¢ | +$163 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $158 | 79¢ | 87¢ | +$17 |
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $156 | 52¢ | 52¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | No | $98 | 76¢ | 87¢ | +$14 |
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $77 | 36¢ | 46¢ | +$20 |
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Tech | OpenAI | $139 | 23¢ | 9.0¢ | -$84 |
AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $33 | 75¢ | 89¢ | +$6 |
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $34 | 52¢ | 60¢ | +$5 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $39 | 21¢ | 20¢ | -$2 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $17 | 55¢ | 93¢ | +$12 |
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?Tech | Microsoft | $7 | 34¢ | 57¢ | +$5 |
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSports | Yes | $31 | 19¢ | 4.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 46¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?Tech | Yes | $13 | 26¢ | 4.8¢ | -$11 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | Yes | $23 | 17¢ | 1.7¢ | -$21 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $3 | 1.5¢ | 0.7¢ | -$2 |
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $96 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $1 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $17 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $30 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $109 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$109 |
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSports | YesResolved | $77 | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$77 |
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $8 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Tech | NoResolved | $92 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$92 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Tech | NoResolved | $408 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$408 |
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?Tech | NoResolved | $18 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $25 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $80 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSports | YesResolved | $13 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $25 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $137 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$137 |
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?Tech | NoResolved | $10 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $35 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $46 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Tech | YesResolved | $12 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $44 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $33 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |