← Whale Watch

calm.rabbit

Predicting since Oct 2025967 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.0K on Politics markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $503 across 3 Crypto markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.4K on Winter Games 2026: Athlete to be stripped of medal?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?CryptoNo$27052¢54¢+$7
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$26549¢45¢-$21
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?TechNo$20451¢54¢+$12
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$15652¢49¢-$10
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$15879¢72¢-$14
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?TechNo$40850¢15¢-$285
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?TechNo$9876¢93¢+$23
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?TechOpenAI$13923¢18¢-$29
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsNo$10914¢14¢-$3
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?CryptoNo$7736¢34¢-$4
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?TechNo$9632¢19¢-$41
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsYes$3119¢23¢+$6
AI bubble burst in 2026?TechNo$3375¢84¢+$4
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsYes$779.8¢3.3¢-$51
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechNo$1755¢81¢+$8
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?TechYes$2317¢19¢+$2
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsNo$2529¢21¢-$7
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$3921¢7.8¢-$24
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$43.1¢8.0¢+$6
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsYes$131.0¢0.7¢-$4
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?TechMicrosoft$734¢38¢+$1
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechYes$31.5¢1.1¢-$1
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsNo$146¢72¢+$1
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$93.1¢0.5¢-$8
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?TechYes$113¢17¢+$0
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$20.3¢0.1¢-$1
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$51.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?eSportsYesResolved$15.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$174.0¢0.0¢-$17
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?TechYesResolved$11.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$301.1¢0.0¢-$30
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$859¢0.0¢-$8
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$100.3¢0.0¢-$10
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?TechNoResolved$8423¢0.0¢-$84
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?TechNoResolved$1835¢0.0¢-$18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$8029¢0.0¢-$80
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$255.0¢0.0¢-$25
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?TechYesResolved$5023¢0.0¢-$50
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$915¢0.0¢-$9
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?FinanceYesResolved$13768¢0.0¢-$137
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?TechNoResolved$128.9¢0.0¢-$12
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$358.0¢0.0¢-$35
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?TechNoResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?TechYesResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$464.7¢0.0¢-$46
Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?TechYesResolved$125.5¢0.0¢-$12
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$4444¢0.0¢-$44
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?TechYesResolved$301.7¢0.0¢-$30
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$332.4¢0.0¢-$33

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$2.0K
Olympics+$1.4K
Crypto+$1.0K
NFL+$500
eSports-$331
Finance-$144
World Cup-$122
Culture-$113
Tech+$58
Weather+$29
Mentions-$27
Economy-$19
Biggest hit
+$1.4K
Winter Games 2026: Athlete to be stripped of medal?
Toughest beat
-$1.4K
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1006d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$34113d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?$7420d ago