← Whale Watch

tolij

Predicting since Jun 202558 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $3.1K on Politics markets since Jun 2025.

Right now: $628 across 6 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$4.7K on US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$208.0¢0.0¢-$20
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$412.3¢0.0¢-$41
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$111.2¢0.0¢-$11
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$1313¢0.0¢-$13
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2019¢0.0¢-$20
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$30010.0¢0.0¢-$300
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?PoliticsYesResolved$252.1¢0.0¢-$25
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?PoliticsYesResolved$104.2¢0.0¢-$10
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$651.9¢0.0¢-$65
US military action against Iran by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$148.9¢0.0¢-$14
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$50.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$153.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will Iran declare war on Israel before July?PoliticsYesResolved$59.0¢0.0¢-$5
Military action against Iran ends on March 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Israel strikes Iran by October 3?PoliticsYesResolved$30.8¢0.0¢-$3
UK strike on Iran before July?PoliticsYesResolved$654.5¢0.0¢-$65
Will the Iranian regime fall before July?PoliticsYesResolved$151.9¢0.0¢-$15
Israel strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$142.8¢0.0¢-$14
Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$51.3¢0.0¢-$5
Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?PoliticsYesResolved$3013¢0.0¢-$30
Another US military action against Iran by Monday?PoliticsYesResolved$3820¢0.0¢-$38
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?PoliticsYesResolved$50.6¢0.0¢-$5
Trump x Khamenei talk before July?PoliticsYesResolved$104.5¢0.0¢-$10
Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$50.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$251.8¢0.0¢-$25
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$151.5¢0.0¢-$15
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$7710¢0.0¢-$77
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11424¢0.0¢-$114
Will Khamenei leave Iran before July?PoliticsYesResolved$207.3¢0.0¢-$20
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$31.3¢0.0¢-$3
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?PoliticsYesResolved$53.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$601.9¢0.0¢-$60
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$91.9¢0.0¢-$9
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$152.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$64.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$151.5¢0.0¢-$15
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$317.3¢0.0¢-$31
Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$100.9¢0.0¢-$10
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1709.4¢0.0¢-$170
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$1104.4¢0.0¢-$110
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$353.1¢0.0¢-$35
Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?PoliticsYesResolved$111.4¢0.0¢-$11
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$81.2¢0.0¢-$8
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$52.1¢0.0¢-$5
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?PoliticsYesResolved$103.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$453.6¢0.0¢-$45
Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$252.5¢0.0¢-$25
Will Iranian officials visit the White House in June?PoliticsYesResolved$153.7¢0.0¢-$15
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5011¢0.0¢-$50
Iranian coup attempt before July?PoliticsYesResolved$155.7¢0.0¢-$15
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$551.6¢0.0¢-$55
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$212.0¢0.0¢-$21
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$273.5¢0.0¢-$27
Will Iran declare war on Israel by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$73.3¢0.0¢-$7
Will Trump meet with Khamenei before August?PoliticsYesResolved$53.3¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$3.1K
Biggest hit
+$4.7K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$43mo ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$03mo ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$53mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$9543mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$9463mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$9203mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$33mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1.9K3mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$253mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$453mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?$54mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?$54mo ago