 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $856 | 15¢ | 93¢ | +$4.6K |
 Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | Yes | $920 | 73¢ | 75¢ | +$20 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $858 | 63¢ | 66¢ | +$39 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $438 | 48¢ | 98¢ | +$450 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $608 | 55¢ | 76¢ | +$225 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $624 | 53¢ | 63¢ | +$114 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Economy | Yes | $470 | 81¢ | 97¢ | +$93 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $264 | 19¢ | 33¢ | +$181 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $434 | 37¢ | 38¢ | +$5 |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $299 | 65¢ | 82¢ | +$79 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $226 | 52¢ | 86¢ | +$150 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $317 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$16 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $367 | 33¢ | 24¢ | -$103 |
 Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $173 | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$8 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 27¢ | 2.6¢ | -$1.5K |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 17¢ | 2.5¢ | -$861 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | Yes | $150 | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$2 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $116 | 65¢ | 79¢ | +$25 |
 Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | Yes | $81 | 48¢ | 83¢ | +$59 |
| Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | Yes | $128 | 10¢ | 7.2¢ | -$37 |
 Will White House post 200+ posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $46 | 27¢ | 47¢ | +$34 |
 Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $78 | 52¢ | 53¢ | +$2 |
 Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $46 | 29¢ | 49¢ | +$32 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | No | $75 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | No | $74 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | No | $70 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$1 |
 Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $91 | 63¢ | 48¢ | -$22 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | No | $66 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?Politics | Yes | $38 | 37¢ | 63¢ | +$25 |
 Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $52 | 77¢ | 94¢ | +$11 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $146 | 32¢ | 13¢ | -$84 |
| Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | Yes | $69 | 5.5¢ | 4.9¢ | -$8 |
| Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $56 | 37¢ | 40¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | Yes | $53 | 73¢ | 81¢ | +$6 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 19¢ | 0.9¢ | -$1.1K |
| Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $35 | 25¢ | 35¢ | +$14 |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $44 | 33¢ | 37¢ | +$5 |
| Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | Yes | $53 | 4.2¢ | 3.9¢ | -$5 |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $77 | 48¢ | 26¢ | -$35 |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$14 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $186 | 3.1¢ | 0.7¢ | -$147 |
 Will Union Centriste have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?Politics | Yes | $48 | 47¢ | 33¢ | -$14 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $122 | 8.9¢ | 2.4¢ | -$89 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $41 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$9 |
| Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | Yes | $19 | 31¢ | 52¢ | +$12 |
| Will “The Daily Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | Yes | $51 | 4.0¢ | 2.4¢ | -$20 |
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | Yes | $29 | 17¢ | 17¢ | +$0 |
 Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | Yes | $31 | 58¢ | 52¢ | -$4 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 16¢ | 15¢ | -$1 |
| Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 4.0¢ | 6.3¢ | +$10 |
 Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $28 | 56¢ | 51¢ | -$3 |
 Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?Weather | Yes | $27 | 53¢ | 46¢ | -$4 |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | Yes | $37 | 61¢ | 38¢ | -$14 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 34¢ | 40¢ | +$3 |
| Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 16¢ | 12¢ | -$7 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $25 | 7.2¢ | 4.9¢ | -$8 |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $141 | 32¢ | 3.7¢ | -$125 |
| Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft?Weather | Yes | $14 | 27¢ | 31¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Weather | Yes | $6 | 15¢ | 38¢ | +$9 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?Economy | Yes | $84 | 14¢ | 2.5¢ | -$69 |
| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Weather | Yes | $5 | 13¢ | 35¢ | +$9 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 18¢ | 19¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $30 | 2.7¢ | 1.3¢ | -$16 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 17¢ | 7.6¢ | -$16 |
| Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $9 | 18¢ | 27¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $413 | 45¢ | 1.5¢ | -$400 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $16 | 1.1¢ | 0.9¢ | -$3 |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 23¢ | 11¢ | -$14 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | Yes | $20 | 27¢ | 17¢ | -$8 |
| Will SPD win 30-33 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $9 | 6.4¢ | 7.4¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?Weather | Yes | $10 | 26¢ | 25¢ | -$1 |
| Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $13 | 8.6¢ | 6.5¢ | -$3 |
| Will AfD win 24-27 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $7 | 13¢ | 19¢ | +$3 |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 53¢ | 48¢ | -$1 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | Yes | $46 | 23¢ | 4.5¢ | -$37 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $43 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$34 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $42 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$33 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $128 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$119 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $66 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$57 |
 Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?Tech | Yes | $4 | 20¢ | 43¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $13 | 1.5¢ | 0.9¢ | -$5 |
| Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 ft?Weather | Yes | $2 | 4.0¢ | 13¢ | +$4 |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 36¢ | 31¢ | -$1 |
| Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 1.6¢ | 1.2¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $31 | 2.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$26 |
| Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 7.9¢ | 27¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $31 | 2.3¢ | 0.4¢ | -$26 |
| Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?Tech | Yes | $7 | 34¢ | 22¢ | -$2 |
| Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 1.7¢ | 0.9¢ | -$4 |
| Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO?Tech | Yes | $0 | 1.8¢ | 22¢ | +$4 |
| Will SPD win 18-21 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $3 | 1.9¢ | 2.9¢ | +$1 |
| Will OpenAI raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?Tech | Yes | $0 | 2.3¢ | 19¢ | +$3 |
| Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 2.9¢ | 0.8¢ | -$9 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?Economy | Yes | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | -$1 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.7¢ | 0.6¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $43 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$40 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $57 | 1.0¢ | 0.1¢ | -$54 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | -$35 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $42 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$39 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $109 | 1.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$106 |