 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $593 | 12¢ | 27¢ | +$739 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 28¢ | 25¢ | -$181 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 21¢ | 17¢ | -$209 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $858 | 63¢ | 56¢ | -$91 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $878 | 18¢ | 11¢ | -$320 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $501 | 74¢ | 80¢ | +$41 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $479 | 54¢ | 57¢ | +$27 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $264 | 19¢ | 30¢ | +$140 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $111 | 2.3¢ | 8.0¢ | +$284 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $281 | 52¢ | 64¢ | +$66 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $324 | 79¢ | 83¢ | +$18 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $304 | 35¢ | 39¢ | +$35 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $225 | 72¢ | 79¢ | +$21 |
| Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?Tech | Yes | $150 | 59¢ | 81¢ | +$55 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $226 | 52¢ | 45¢ | -$29 |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $141 | 32¢ | 43¢ | +$46 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $185 | 34¢ | 32¢ | -$11 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $175 | 88¢ | 85¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $122 | 8.9¢ | 8.5¢ | -$6 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $117 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$5 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $33 | 0.7¢ | 1.5¢ | +$39 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $72 | 18¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?Economy | Yes | $55 | 27¢ | 34¢ | +$15 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $44 | 0.9¢ | 1.4¢ | +$23 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $50 | 16¢ | 21¢ | +$16 |
 Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $52 | 77¢ | 95¢ | +$11 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $114 | 2.3¢ | 1.3¢ | -$52 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $54 | 1.1¢ | 1.1¢ | +$3 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?Economy | Yes | $52 | 25¢ | 26¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $31 | 0.6¢ | 1.1¢ | +$21 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $98 | 2.0¢ | 1.1¢ | -$46 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?Economy | Yes | $55 | 27¢ | 25¢ | -$5 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $51 | 1.0¢ | 0.9¢ | -$7 |
| Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?Tech | Yes | $58 | 22¢ | 17¢ | -$14 |
| Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 4.0¢ | 8.7¢ | +$21 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $31 | 2.3¢ | 2.3¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?Economy | Yes | $20 | 32¢ | 49¢ | +$10 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Economy | Yes | $36 | 59¢ | 48¢ | -$6 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $31 | 0.6¢ | 0.5¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $23 | 2.6¢ | 2.6¢ | -$0 |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 29¢ | 49¢ | +$8 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $21 | 3.1¢ | 2.8¢ | -$2 |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $17 | 8.7¢ | 9.3¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $20 | 3.7¢ | 3.4¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $16 | 1.1¢ | 1.2¢ | +$1 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Culture | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 65¢ | +$13 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $37 | 0.7¢ | 0.3¢ | -$25 |
 Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 37¢ | 72¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $6 | 1.1¢ | 1.9¢ | +$4 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $40 | 0.8¢ | 0.2¢ | -$30 |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 29¢ | 25¢ | -$2 |
| Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 2.9¢ | 2.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?Culture | Yes | $8 | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 26¢ | 62¢ | +$5 |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 21¢ | 20¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $45 | 0.9¢ | 0.1¢ | -$38 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $41 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$34 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in July?Economy | Yes | $14 | 7.1¢ | 3.6¢ | -$7 |
 Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?Tech | Yes | $7 | 34¢ | 33¢ | -$0 |
| Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 1.6¢ | 1.3¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO?Tech | Yes | $0 | 1.8¢ | 30¢ | +$6 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in July?Economy | Yes | $2 | 0.9¢ | 2.7¢ | +$4 |
| Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than 0.0%?Economy | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ | 38¢ | +$5 |
| Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.6% and 0.8%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 25¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
| Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 1.7¢ | 0.9¢ | -$4 |
| Will OpenAI raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?Tech | Yes | $0 | 2.3¢ | 21¢ | +$4 |
| Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be at least 1.5%?Economy | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ | 32¢ | +$4 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in July?Economy | Yes | $5 | 2.5¢ | 2.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?Culture | Yes | $4 | 16¢ | 16¢ | -$0 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $10 | 1.4¢ | 0.5¢ | -$6 |
| Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?Tech | Yes | $4 | 20¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $6 | 1.9¢ | 1.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $10 | 1.6¢ | 0.5¢ | -$7 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 40¢ | 20¢ | -$3 |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $1 | 0.3¢ | 1.1¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?Tech | Yes | $43 | 17¢ | 1.0¢ | -$41 |
 Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after August 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $2 | 0.8¢ | 1.1¢ | +$1 |
| Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 6.7¢ | 6.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$16 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$14 |
| Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 25¢ | 59¢ | +$1 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?Culture | Yes | $4 | 15¢ | 9.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?Culture | Yes | $7 | 30¢ | 7.8¢ | -$5 |
| Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 7.0¢ | 4.6¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Economy | Yes | $0 | 0.5¢ | 2.9¢ | +$1 |
| Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.9% and 1.1%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?Tech | Yes | $3 | 15¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?Tech | Yes | $1 | 4.2¢ | 8.4¢ | +$1 |
| Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 1.2% and 1.4%?Economy | Yes | $1 | 10¢ | 12¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 23¢ | 38¢ | +$1 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in July?Economy | Yes | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.7¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?Tech | Yes | $1 | 7.2¢ | 5.9¢ | -$0 |
| Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?Economy | Yes | $1 | 7.0¢ | 7.8¢ | +$0 |
 Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Cashed out No · Will White House post 20-39 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$12627m ago