← Whale Watch

kafkawen

Predicting since Apr 202591 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will ARKO Petroleum Corp.'s market cap be between $800M and $850M at market close on IPO day?FinanceNoResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down on September 26?CryptoUpResolved$812¢0.0¢-$8
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$1372.5¢0.0¢-$137
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?TechYesResolved$87.2¢0.0¢-$8
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?TechNoResolved$305.3¢0.0¢-$30
Will Copper (HG) hit (HIGH) $6.10 by end of February?FinanceNoResolved$365¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down on October 7?CryptoUpResolved$58.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on January 29?FinanceYesResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,000 and $4,100 on September 29?CryptoYesResolved$27.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?TechYesResolved$32.8¢0.0¢-$3
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?CryptoNoResolved$156.9¢0.0¢-$15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 2?CryptoYesResolved$519¢0.0¢-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$21.0¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down on September 29?CryptoDownResolved$56.0¢0.0¢-$5
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?PoliticsYesResolved$20.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 12?CryptoYesResolved$2711¢0.0¢-$27
No airdrop in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$516¢0.0¢-$5
Ethereum Up or Down on September 25?CryptoUpResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$1042¢0.0¢-$10
Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 11AM ETCryptoDownResolved$826¢0.0¢-$8
Will Copper (HG) hit (LOW) $5.80 by end of February?FinanceNoResolved$363¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down on September 23?CryptoDownResolved$531¢0.0¢-$5
Over $3M committed to the Foresee public sale?CryptoYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bryan Johnson say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while tripping balls?MentionsYesResolved$2445¢0.0¢-$24
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 27?CryptoYesResolved$22.5¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$825¢0.0¢-$8
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on September 22?CryptoYesResolved$1525¢0.0¢-$15
Will Forgent Power Solutions' market cap be between $8.50B and $8.75B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$1211¢0.0¢-$12
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?TechYesResolved$6565¢0.0¢-$65
Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?PoliticsNoResolved$57.0¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 25?CryptoUpResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down on September 30?CryptoUpResolved$3141¢0.0¢-$31
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?Other sportsNoResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Lebron announce he's retiring Tuesday? NBAYesResolved$01.6¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down on September 28?CryptoDownResolved$322¢0.0¢-$3
Will "GOAT" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?CultureNoResolved$1711¢0.0¢-$17
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,700 on October 6?CryptoYesResolved$107.5¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2034¢0.0¢-$20
Will the price of Solana be less than $200 on September 25?CryptoYesResolved$519¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on September 25?CryptoYesResolved$56.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 15?CryptoYesResolved$332¢0.0¢-$3
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on September 29?CryptoYesResolved$45.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be less than $450M at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$412¢0.0¢-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$196
Crypto+$161
NFL+$36
eSports+$33
Boxing+$26
Finance+$25
Mentions-$24
Politics-$2
Culture-$1
Other sports-$1
NBA-$0
Biggest hit
+$156
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Toughest beat
-$55
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$965mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?$245mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of February?$1765mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US strikes Iraq by February 28?$05mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US strikes Iraq by February 28?$45mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump declassifies new UFO files by February 28?$105mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$205mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of February?$1005mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of February?$1005mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?$25mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?$1205mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?$655mo ago