← Whale Watch

mehanizator

Predicting since Mar 20259,146 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.1K on Politics markets since Mar 2025.

Right now: $2.9K across 2 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.7K9.5¢8.5¢-$299
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyYes$1.0K15¢12¢-$198
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$79726¢24¢-$74
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?FinanceYes$67111¢9.5¢-$99
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?FinanceNo$37337¢34¢-$21
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?PoliticsYes$3059.5¢8.5¢-$33
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$21572¢88¢+$48
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$27363¢60¢-$15
Russia coup attempt in 2026?PoliticsYes$1776.9¢7.5¢+$15
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$15015¢16¢+$5
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsYes$13113¢13¢-$8
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$16016¢12¢-$40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$9513¢16¢+$21
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?PoliticsNo$8589¢99¢+$9
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsNo$9595¢94¢-$1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$606.0¢6.5¢+$5
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?FinanceNo$12019¢10¢-$56
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?PoliticsNo$6194¢96¢+$1
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in July?FinanceNo$5196¢99¢+$2
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? PoliticsYes$518.9¢8.5¢-$2
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$4590¢95¢+$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?CryptoNo$4292¢99¢+$3
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in July?FinanceNo$4498¢99¢+$1
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?FinanceNo$3569¢90¢+$10
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?PoliticsNo$4284¢89¢+$2
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$314.0¢5.5¢+$12
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$432.9¢2.9¢-$0
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?PoliticsNo$4183¢84¢+$1
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$4489¢84¢-$3
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$4385¢81¢-$2
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?PoliticsNo$4080¢77¢-$2
Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?PoliticsYes$4353¢47¢-$5
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 23?PoliticsNo$3390¢99¢+$3
Will AbbVie Q2 Global Rinvoq net revenues be above $2.3B?FinanceNo$2711¢13¢+$5
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$3673¢64¢-$5
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsNo$2892¢96¢+$1
Will Trump say "Dog" in July?MentionsNo$310¢78¢+$22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 24?WeatherNo$2495¢100¢+$1
Fnatic merger/acquisition announced by September 1, 2026?eSportsNo$38.0¢70¢+$21
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NBAYes$00.1¢100¢+$23
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?EconomyNo$2287¢90¢+$1
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?CultureNo$2290¢85¢-$1
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 24?WeatherNo$1993¢100¢+$1
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYes$81.0¢2.4¢+$10
Will Trump praise Emmanuel Macron by July 31?PoliticsNo$521¢73¢+$13
Will Team Yandex Win the Shortest Game at EWC 2026?eSportsYes$1892¢90¢-$0
Will Trump praise Ursula von der Leyen by July 31?PoliticsNo$419¢89¢+$14
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureNo$1845¢41¢-$2
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?PoliticsYes$4182¢32¢-$25
Will AbbVie Q2 Global Rinvoq net revenues be above $2.4B?FinanceNo$1212¢16¢+$4
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in July?FinanceYes$18212¢1.0¢-$167
Will anyone say "Horse" during Rick and Morty E10 S9?MentionsNo$53.0¢10¢+$11
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?FinanceNo$3712¢4.5¢-$24
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?CryptoYes$1236.5¢0.7¢-$111
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?PoliticsNo$38.0¢34¢+$9
Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?PoliticsYes$2244¢23¢-$11
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?PoliticsYes$3113¢4.5¢-$20
Will Trump post "Lindsey" or "Graham" on Truth Social this week?MentionsNo$813¢18¢+$3
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1T yuan?FinanceNo$121.1¢0.9¢-$2
Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns?NFLYes$2338¢17¢-$13
Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$1157¢48¢-$2
Will 55 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?PoliticsYes$1741¢21¢-$8
Will Baltimore Ravens finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?NFLYes$1230¢20¢-$4
Will Dusan Vlahovic stay at Juventus?Soccer (other)Yes$713¢15¢+$1
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?PoliticsNo$946¢38¢-$2
Will the National Union for Democracy and Progress win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?PoliticsYes$00.1¢2.9¢+$7
Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?CultureYes$2871¢17¢-$22
Will "China" or "Chinese" be in the headlines this week?MentionsNo$515¢20¢+$2
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYes$10.4¢2.3¢+$5
Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?PoliticsYes$1844¢14¢-$13
Will Procter & Gamble say "Commodity" during earnings call?MentionsNo$33.2¢5.7¢+$2
Will Procter & Gamble say "Innovation" 10+ times during earnings call?MentionsNo$66.2¢5.6¢-$1
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31?PoliticsNo$1332¢14¢-$7
Will Procter & Gamble say "Income" 10+ times during earnings call?MentionsYes$55.0¢5.0¢+$0
Will ARM (ARM) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$718¢12¢-$2
Will Trump say "Snake" in July?MentionsNo$113¢47¢+$3
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?CultureYes$360¢94¢+$2
Will Procter & Gamble say "Geopolitical" during earnings call?MentionsNo$43.6¢4.7¢+$1
Will Procter & Gamble say "Currency" during earnings call?MentionsNo$66.0¢4.5¢-$2
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?PoliticsNo$482¢92¢+$0
Tread FDV above $5M one day after launchCryptoNo$14.4¢25¢+$3
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$839¢21¢-$4
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$1156¢21¢-$7
Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsYes$00.1¢1.3¢+$4
Will Procter & Gamble say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?MentionsNo$65.9¢3.9¢-$2
Will Procter & Gamble say "Supply" during earnings call?MentionsNo$53.6¢2.8¢-$1
Will Procter & Gamble say "Portfolio" during earnings call?MentionsNo$43.3¢2.9¢-$0
Will Procter & Gamble say "Consumer" 10+ times during earnings call?MentionsNo$43.8¢2.5¢-$1
Will anyone say "Space" during Rick and Morty E10 S9?MentionsNo$12.0¢4.2¢+$1
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1888¢12¢-$15
Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$254¢77¢+$1
Will anyone say "Fly" during Rick and Morty E10 S9?MentionsYes$11.0¢1.9¢+$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsNo$2010¢1.1¢-$18
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 1?CultureNo$38.0¢5.3¢-$1
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?PoliticsNo$125¢41¢+$1
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?CultureYes$237¢32¢-$0
Will Victoria Doyle be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?PoliticsYes$00.1¢1.8¢+$2
Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?MentionsNo$116¢31¢+$1
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in July?FinanceYes$32.7¢1.5¢-$1
Will Procter & Gamble say "China" during earnings call?MentionsNo$12.6¢2.6¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$1.1K
Finance-$392
Crypto-$267
Economy-$131
Tech-$96
Culture-$65
Mentions+$59
Weather-$46
Other sports-$26
eSports+$25
NFL-$24
NBA+$19
Biggest hit
+$198
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 24, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$286
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will anyone say "Horse" during Rick and Morty E10 S9?$56m ago
  • Sold No · Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?$434m ago
  • Sold No · Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?$1634m ago
  • Bought No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?$611h ago
  • Sold No · Will Ninjas in Pyjamas Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$81h ago
  • Bought No · 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$952h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will anyone say "Six Seven" during Rick and Morty E10 S9?$12h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will anyone say "Drama" during Rick and Morty E10 S9?$12h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Who will win the gold medal in Moto X Best Whip at X Games New Orleans 2026?$624h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Who will win the gold medal in Women's Skateboard Vert at X Games New Orleans 2026?$1005h ago
  • Bought Yes · Who will win the gold medal in Men's BMX Dirt at X Games New Orleans 2026?$05h ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?$16h ago