 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $70 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$7 |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Politics | Yes | $32 | 9.3¢ | 9.5¢ | +$1 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $18 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 12¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
 Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?Politics | Yes | $7 | 24¢ | 17¢ | -$2 |
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 9.8¢ | 6.6¢ | -$2 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4 | 82¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | No | $6 | 37¢ | 25¢ | -$2 |
 New pandemic in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 12¢ | 8.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Politics | No | $7 | 11¢ | 3.6¢ | -$5 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 40¢ | 44¢ | +$0 |
 NATO article 5 before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 78¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alfonso López Chau finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Finance | NoResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will GERB-SDS (GERB–SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Trump out as President by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the People's Bank of China decrease rates in April?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bought Yes · Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$012d ago
Sold No · US takes Panama Canal before 2027?$1914d ago