← Whale Watch

toutiege

Predicting since Feb 2026634 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $33K on Politics markets since Feb 2026.

Right now: $5.8K across 7 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$3.5K on Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$1.0K17¢21¢+$214
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$67067¢99¢+$322
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$41864¢55¢-$62
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$32716¢14¢-$23
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?PoliticsYes$2746.1¢4.5¢-$73
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$613.6¢5.0¢+$24
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$28412¢0.6¢-$270
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$12611¢0.9¢-$117
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$24925¢0.0¢-$249
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.1K18¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$160.2¢0.0¢-$16
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$58058¢0.0¢-$580
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$15130¢0.0¢-$151
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1265.5¢0.0¢-$126
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1671.8¢0.0¢-$167
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$150.1¢0.0¢-$15
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$40119¢0.0¢-$401
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?PoliticsYesResolved$1025.0¢0.0¢-$102
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1.1K12¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?PoliticsNoResolved$1610.6¢0.0¢-$161
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14PoliticsNoResolved$7272¢0.0¢-$72
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1.4K39¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Will Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit?PoliticsNoResolved$20.5¢0.0¢-$2
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?TechNoResolved$1464.9¢0.0¢-$146
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?PoliticsNoResolved$17535¢0.0¢-$175
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 9?PoliticsNoResolved$11050¢0.0¢-$110
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$200.2¢0.0¢-$20
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?PoliticsYesResolved$462.3¢0.0¢-$46
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$5533¢0.0¢-$55
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?PoliticsNoResolved$2.2K68¢0.0¢-$2.2K
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$34017¢0.0¢-$340
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$60.1¢0.0¢-$6
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?WeatherYesResolved$324.0¢0.0¢-$32
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?TechNoResolved$358.0¢0.0¢-$35
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 10?PoliticsNoResolved$524¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$131.3¢0.0¢-$13
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?PoliticsNoResolved$220.2¢0.0¢-$22
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?PoliticsNoResolved$85733¢0.0¢-$857
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$300.1¢0.0¢-$30
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?PoliticsYesResolved$182.3¢0.0¢-$18
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$560.2¢0.0¢-$56
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?PoliticsYesResolved$2284.1¢0.0¢-$228
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$1662.8¢0.0¢-$166
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.3K44¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?PoliticsYesResolved$121.2¢0.0¢-$12
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$40.4¢0.0¢-$4
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Putin visit China by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$11114¢0.0¢-$111
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?PoliticsYesResolved$161.7¢0.0¢-$16
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??PoliticsNoResolved$9133¢0.0¢-$91
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?TechNoResolved$1207.2¢0.0¢-$120
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?TechNoResolved$401.3¢0.0¢-$40
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?PoliticsYesResolved$204.1¢0.0¢-$20
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$37213¢0.0¢-$372
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?TechNoResolved$25.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?PoliticsNoResolved$6215¢0.0¢-$62
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2412¢0.0¢-$24
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$10653¢0.0¢-$106
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$63.0¢0.0¢-$6
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1913.6¢0.0¢-$191
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.5K48¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Will Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?eSportsNoResolved$4040¢0.0¢-$40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4607.7¢0.0¢-$460
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2.0K19¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$140.1¢0.0¢-$14
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.2K19¢0.0¢-$1.2K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?PoliticsNoResolved$1.2K56¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2348.1¢0.0¢-$234
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.0K17¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$181.2¢0.0¢-$18
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$261.3¢0.0¢-$26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$151.5¢0.0¢-$15
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?MentionsYesResolved$1072.1¢0.0¢-$107
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2.4K29¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$1.0K28¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$357.0¢0.0¢-$35
Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?PoliticsYesResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?PoliticsYesResolved$582.8¢0.0¢-$58
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1.8K24¢0.0¢-$1.8K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$33K
World Cup+$320
Tech+$180
Mentions-$147
Other sports+$142
Weather+$111
eSports-$80
Crypto-$68
Finance-$59
NBA-$53
UFC / MMA+$17
Economy+$10
Biggest hit
+$3.5K
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Toughest beat
-$5.7K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$1517d ago
  • Sold No · Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$517d ago
  • Sold No · Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$3217d ago
  • Sold No · Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$917d ago
  • Sold No · Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$3417d ago
  • Sold No · Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$1717d ago
  • Sold No · Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$617d ago
  • Sold No · Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$1317d ago
  • Sold No · Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$217d ago
  • Sold No · Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$2217d ago
  • Sold No · Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$217d ago
  • Sold No · Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$1117d ago