← Whale Watch

richardd

Predicting since Aug 20243,293 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $6.4K across 2 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$3.3K50¢80¢+$1.9K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3.2K49¢20¢-$1.9K
Will AbbVie Q2 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $18B?FinanceNo$17344¢97¢+$207
Will AbbVie Q2 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $19B?FinanceNo$23582¢96¢+$40
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?PoliticsYes$12059¢72¢+$25
Will AbbVie Q2 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $20B?FinanceNo$9368¢97¢+$39
Will AbbVie Q2 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $21B?FinanceNo$9075¢98¢+$27
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 6%?PoliticsYes$10490¢95¢+$5
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?EconomyYes$10426¢27¢+$4
Will AbbVie Q2 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $22B?FinanceNo$7695¢97¢+$2
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 5%?PoliticsYes$5992¢96¢+$2
Will Edward Pope be the FL-16 Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$5996¢99¢+$2
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?TechNo$4488¢87¢-$1
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?TechYes$4085¢86¢+$0
Will Mo Ivory win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?PoliticsYes$4487¢79¢-$4
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$410¢80¢+$28
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above $38B?FinanceYes$2279¢93¢+$4
Will Brent Hennrich earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?PoliticsNo$1979¢98¢+$5
Will Scott Seiver cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?eSportsNo$2298¢98¢+$0
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?EconomyYes$1312¢15¢+$3
Will Hunter Goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBYes$1313¢16¢+$4
Will Peter Burgelis be the WI-01 Democratic nominee?PoliticsNo$1095¢98¢+$0
Will Ken Fujiyama win the 2026 Hawaii Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$612¢17¢+$2
Will Republican House incumbents not win in three or fewer nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$35.3¢13¢+$4
Will Eric J. Tatum win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?PoliticsYes$00.8¢14¢+$6
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.1% in June?EconomyYes$314¢32¢+$4
Will Christian Walker hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBYes$410¢12¢+$1
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$714¢8.5¢-$3
Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$8712¢0.5¢-$83
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament?NBAYes$211¢26¢+$2
Will Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsNo$364¢81¢+$1
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $250M and $300M at market close on IPO day?FinanceYes$44.4¢2.3¢-$2
Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026?FinanceNo$27.9¢7.4¢-$0
Will Rashida Tlaib be the MI-12 Democratic nominee?PoliticsNo$23.0¢2.5¢-$0
Will Byron Buxton hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBYes$1311¢1.4¢-$11
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?TechYes$02.2¢18¢+$1
Will Brandon Lowe hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBYes$24.0¢2.5¢-$1
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$33.1¢1.1¢-$2
Will Delta Air Lines say "Cargo" during earnings call?MentionsNoResolved$58.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Alliance Guardians Win North America ACE Stage 3eSportsYesResolved$24.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Delta Air Lines say "Loyal" or "Loyalty" during earnings call?MentionsNoResolved$28.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 4?WeatherYesResolved$16.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ilya Morozov be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?NHLYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the announcers say "Fan" 10+ times during the Belgium vs Senegal FIFA World Cup Match?World CupYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will Erik Seidel Make the Final Table in the 2026 WSOP Main Event?YesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Nico Williams Miss a Penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?World CupYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 25?WeatherYesResolved$33.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?TechYesResolved$32.8¢0.0¢-$3
Will Alex Foxen Make the Final Table in the 2026 WSOP Main Event?YesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?World CupYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will YFT Win North America ACE Stage 3eSportsYesResolved$24.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 5?WeatherNoResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 21?WeatherYesResolved$21.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Donald Trump announce Sean O'Brien as the next United States Labor SecretaryPoliticsYesResolved$11.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Jeremy Ausmus cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?eSportsNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon post "Claude" on X this week?MentionsYesResolved$32.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of July 6 2026?FinanceYesResolved$411¢0.0¢-$4
Will anyone say "Slamming Them Down" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?MentionsYesResolved$31.4¢0.0¢-$3
Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$5710¢0.0¢-$57
Will "Evil Dead Burn" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?CultureYesResolved$16.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 8?WeatherYesResolved$04.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will the announcers say "History" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?World CupNoResolved$106.9¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon post "Knicks" on X this week?MentionsYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iván Cepeda win more than 55% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?PoliticsYesResolved$27.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will the announcers say "Maradona" or "Pelé" during Brazil vs Japan?World CupYesResolved$22.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of July 13 2026?FinanceYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Giovani Lo Celso Miss a Penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?World CupYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 8?WeatherNoResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Street Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sportsYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Chris James be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYesResolved$73.5¢0.0¢-$7
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 20?WeatherYesResolved$010¢0.0¢-$0
Will NRG Academy Win North America ACE Stage 3eSportsYesResolved$47.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Valentín Barco Miss a Penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?World CupYesResolved$00.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will Tom Horne be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican nominee?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Division One Win North America ACE Stage 3eSportsYesResolved$34.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 18, 2026?TechYesResolved$37.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of July 13 2026?FinanceYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Delta Air Lines say "Fleet" during earnings call?MentionsNoResolved$75.6¢0.0¢-$7
Philadelphia Air Quality Index below 100 by July 19, 2026?WeatherNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Anastasia Gasanova advance to the Final in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?TennisYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Delta Air Lines say "American Express" or "Amex" during earnings call?MentionsNoResolved$68.8¢0.0¢-$6
Will Yeremy Pino Miss a Penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?World CupYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elly De La Cruz record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?MLBYesResolved$32.9¢0.0¢-$3
Will Stephen Song cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?eSportsNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by September 30?PoliticsNoResolved$3559¢0.0¢-$35
Will there be 3+ bonus swing home runs during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?MLBNoResolved$51.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Syria sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?PoliticsYesResolved$24.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 22?WeatherYesResolved$611¢0.0¢-$6
Will Elizabeth Lee be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?PoliticsNoResolved$165.6¢0.0¢-$16
Will anyone say "Let's Go" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?MentionsYesResolved$77.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will REBORN Win Emea Challengers StageeSportsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 23?WeatherYesResolved$36.4¢0.0¢-$3
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$20.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will the announcers say "Set Piece" 5+ times during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?World CupYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump's Speech to the Nation last 30 minutes or longer?PoliticsYesResolved$1037¢0.0¢-$10
Over $100M committed to the RipCars public sale?CryptoYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $154 Week of July 13 2026?FinanceYesResolved$62.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will the announcers say "Hattrick” or “Hat Trick" during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?World CupYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Joe Wilson replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?PoliticsYesResolved$36.8¢0.0¢-$3
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 25?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

eSports-$597
Finance+$266
Politics-$229
Weather-$110
Tech-$109
World Cup-$56
Mentions-$35
MLB-$20
Crypto+$14
Culture-$9
NFL-$8
NHL-$4
Biggest hit
+$81
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Toughest beat
-$89
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on November 14?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?$11h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $250M and $300M at market close on IPO day?$52h ago
  • Bought No · Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026?$22h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?$12h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?$03h ago
  • Bought No · Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?$03h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?$03h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?$03h ago
  • Bought No · Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?$03h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?$03h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?$13h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?$03h ago