 Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Tech | Yes | $65 | 62¢ | 94¢ | +$33 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $85 | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$11 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Tech | No | $74 | 74¢ | 94¢ | +$20 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Tech | No | $77 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
| Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Tech | No | $68 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $29 | 72¢ | 92¢ | +$8 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $35 | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $34 | 86¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $21 | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$9 |
| Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $27 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?Tech | No | $19 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $19 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $19 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | No | $18 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $18 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $19 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
 Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $18 | 91¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Tech | Yes | $17 | 87¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $75 | 29¢ | 6.2¢ | -$59 |
| Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $17 | 87¢ | 76¢ | -$2 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $14 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $14 | 69¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $14 | 69¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Tech | No | $12 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 3.5¢ | 7.3¢ | +$4 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $4 | 18¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 49¢ | 21¢ | -$6 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 24¢ | 8.5¢ | -$6 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 25¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 4.0¢ | 1.7¢ | -$2 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 5.3¢ | 7.5¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 3.9¢ | 1.4¢ | -$2 |
 Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 24, 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $105 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$105 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 24?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?Tech | YesResolved | $14 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 23?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?Culture | YesResolved | $9 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?Tech | NoResolved | $145 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$145 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6 have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?Tech | NoResolved | $37 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $22 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Loktantrik Samajwadi Party Nepal win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Rastriya Janamorcha win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 27?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $14 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?Tech | YesResolved | $12 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will OpenAI have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will any other model be the top AI model on April 24, 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $11 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $189 | 95¢ | 0.0¢ | -$189 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $38 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 26?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 28?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on July 18, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the top AI model on April 24, 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | NoResolved | $264 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$264 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 29?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will any other model have the best AI model on June 6, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $9 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Rabi Lamichhane be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist–Leninist) (CPN-UML) win 60 or more seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on April 24, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $21 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 25?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | NoResolved | $37 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $62 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $63 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |