| Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | No | $439 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$24 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | No | $161 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | Yes | $122 | 74¢ | 84¢ | +$15 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?Culture | No | $129 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
| Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?Tech | No | $49 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $43 | 71¢ | 80¢ | +$5 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $39 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $39 | 98¢ | 93¢ | -$2 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?Culture | Yes | $31 | 79¢ | 90¢ | +$5 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $35 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $27 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | Yes | $22 | 15¢ | 17¢ | +$2 |
| Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $17 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $19 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $19 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
| Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $19 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?Culture | No | $19 | 93¢ | 90¢ | -$1 |
 Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $18 | 91¢ | 89¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $20 | 96¢ | 82¢ | -$3 |
 Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $18 | 90¢ | 85¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $16 | 86¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $19 | 96¢ | 79¢ | -$3 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $14 | 69¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $11 | 53¢ | 59¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 49¢ | 50¢ | +$0 |
| Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $14 | 68¢ | 44¢ | -$5 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 3.8¢ | 7.8¢ | +$4 |
 Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $22 | 58¢ | 5.7¢ | -$19 |
 Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 24, 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $115 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$115 |
 Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 24?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?Tech | YesResolved | $14 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 23?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?Culture | YesResolved | $9 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?Tech | NoResolved | $145 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$145 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6 have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?Tech | NoResolved | $37 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Loktantrik Samajwadi Party Nepal win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Rastriya Janamorcha win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 27?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?Tech | YesResolved | $12 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will OpenAI have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will any other model be the top AI model on April 24, 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $189 | 95¢ | 0.0¢ | -$189 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 26?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 28?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on July 18, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the top AI model on April 24, 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | NoResolved | $244 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$244 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 29?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will any other model have the best AI model on June 6, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $9 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Rabi Lamichhane be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist–Leninist) (CPN-UML) win 60 or more seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on April 24, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 25?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | NoResolved | $23 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |