 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Economy | YesResolved | $38 | 25¢ | 100¢ | +$116 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $111 | 24¢ | 12¢ | -$55 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $4 | 4.7¢ | 5.1¢ | +$0 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 5?Crypto | YesResolved | $28 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 4?Crypto | YesResolved | $12 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Economy | YesResolved | $12 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?Economy | NoResolved | $7 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 6?Crypto | YesResolved | $11 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $54 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $8 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $8 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on August 1?Crypto | YesResolved | $20 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on August 6?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $34 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 4?Crypto | YesResolved | $74 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$74 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $7 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $495 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$495 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 in November?Crypto | NoResolved | $34 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 18?Crypto | YesResolved | $6 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Economy | YesResolved | $17 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Israel strikes Iran before August?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $9 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Economy | YesResolved | $53 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53 |
 Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Economy | YesResolved | $24 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Economy | YesResolved | $11 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will the price of Solana be less than $160 on August 1?Crypto | YesResolved | $8 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $114K on August 3 at 5PM ET?Crypto | NoResolved | $10 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $122 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$122 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Economy | YesResolved | $30 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $47 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
 Houthi strike on Israel before August?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $9 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $23 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |