castelelie

Predicting since Jan 202622 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the US strike Iran next?Politics	YesResolved	$25	13¢	0.0¢	-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	14¢	0.0¢	-$1
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$2	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$2
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	2.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	8.3¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	27¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Cocaine" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Mentions	NoResolved	$7	18¢	0.0¢	-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$6	38¢	0.0¢	-$6
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$4	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$12	57¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will Trump say "Alien" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Mentions	NoResolved	$3	14¢	0.0¢	-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$19	78¢	0.0¢	-$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$3	34¢	0.0¢	-$3
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$8	2.6¢	0.0¢	-$8
US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$4	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$4

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$115

Politics-$54

Mentions-$10

Biggest hit

+$19

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Toughest beat

-$65

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$105mo ago
Bought No · Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Cocaine" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$75mo ago
Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$15mo ago
Bought No · Will Trump say "Alien" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$35mo ago
Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$65mo ago
Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$55mo ago
Sold Down · Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$115mo ago
Bought Down · Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$105mo ago
Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$35mo ago
Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$25mo ago
Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?$45mo ago
Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$195mo ago