 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.6K | 68¢ | 85¢ | +$625 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $1.9K | 81¢ | 86¢ | +$115 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Economy | No | $1.5K | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$138 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $1.2K | 78¢ | 83¢ | +$79 |
 Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?Politics | No | $1.2K | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$43 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $1.2K | 58¢ | 59¢ | +$7 |
 Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | No | $1.1K | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$52 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | No | $884 | 54¢ | 65¢ | +$187 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $814 | 73¢ | 88¢ | +$166 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $758 | 38¢ | 47¢ | +$165 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | No | $884 | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$31 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by December 31?Tech | No | $795 | 81¢ | 90¢ | +$94 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | No | $698 | 65¢ | 72¢ | +$74 |
 Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Politics | No | $731 | 77¢ | 82¢ | +$38 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $656 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$51 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $391 | 49¢ | 88¢ | +$309 |
 Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?Politics | No | $585 | 76¢ | 87¢ | +$82 |
 Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?Tech | No | $605 | 61¢ | 66¢ | +$47 |
 Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?Politics | No | $627 | 72¢ | 74¢ | +$22 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech | No | $594 | 81¢ | 84¢ | +$21 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?Tech | No | $483 | 74¢ | 91¢ | +$114 |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $525 | 69¢ | 76¢ | +$47 |
| Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $518 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$30 |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $510 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$15 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech | No | $490 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$13 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | No | $472 | 74¢ | 75¢ | +$5 |
 Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?Politics | No | $404 | 80¢ | 93¢ | +$67 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 80% or higher?Tech | No | $446 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$24 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | No | $429 | 21¢ | 23¢ | +$39 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $440 | 72¢ | 77¢ | +$27 |
 Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $409 | 77¢ | 86¢ | +$48 |
 Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Politics | No | $386 | 75¢ | 88¢ | +$66 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $383 | 71¢ | 80¢ | +$45 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $412 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$13 |
 Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?Politics | No | $358 | 74¢ | 84¢ | +$47 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $368 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$10 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $287 | 47¢ | 61¢ | +$85 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech | No | $331 | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$25 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $1.2K | 55¢ | 17¢ | -$818 |
| Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $284 | 65¢ | 78¢ | +$57 |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $230 | 52¢ | 76¢ | +$104 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $310 | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$22 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | No | $320 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$8 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | No | $253 | 68¢ | 80¢ | +$46 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?Politics | No | $257 | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$27 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Politics | No | $281 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$2 |
| Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $266 | 75¢ | 79¢ | +$12 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?Tech | No | $144 | 46¢ | 90¢ | +$134 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech | No | $246 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$10 |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | Yes | $201 | 56¢ | 66¢ | +$38 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $186 | 43¢ | 55¢ | +$50 |
 Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $215 | 66¢ | 72¢ | +$19 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by December 31?Tech | No | $204 | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$20 |
 Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation on September 30?Tech | Yes | $216 | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$7 |
 Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?Politics | No | $187 | 79¢ | 92¢ | +$29 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $243 | 53¢ | 47¢ | -$29 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Andy Burnham by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $179 | 77¢ | 85¢ | +$19 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech | No | $178 | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$20 |
 Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?Politics | No | $162 | 70¢ | 82¢ | +$26 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $158 | 79¢ | 94¢ | +$29 |
 Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in September?Politics | No | $176 | 70¢ | 73¢ | +$7 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?Tech | No | $153 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$13 |
 Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on September 30?Tech | Yes | $142 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$12 |
 Will Trump say "Printer" or "Printing" in September?Mentions | Yes | $117 | 36¢ | 43¢ | +$24 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | No | $106 | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$11 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | No | $109 | 57¢ | 61¢ | +$7 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?Tech | No | $109 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
 Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?Culture | No | $97 | 79¢ | 87¢ | +$9 |
 Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026?Tech | No | $127 | 64¢ | 50¢ | -$27 |
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?Politics | Yes | $52 | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$46 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?Politics | No | $90 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $99 | 68¢ | 60¢ | -$12 |
 Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $71 | 78¢ | 95¢ | +$15 |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Politics | No | $70 | 82¢ | 92¢ | +$8 |
| Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026?Tech | No | $66 | 33¢ | 37¢ | +$7 |
 Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?Economy | No | $69 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $37 | 44¢ | 72¢ | +$24 |
| Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?Tech | No | $34 | 17¢ | 27¢ | +$20 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 90% or higher?Tech | No | $48 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $122 | 49¢ | 18¢ | -$79 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $52 | 45¢ | 34¢ | -$13 |
 Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $9 | 5.9¢ | 26¢ | +$30 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $37 | 82¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in September?Politics | Yes | $39 | 73¢ | 67¢ | -$4 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?Politics | No | $35 | 95¢ | 92¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | No | $34 | 86¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump praise Dana White in September?Politics | No | $61 | 30¢ | 15¢ | -$30 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on September 30?Tech | Yes | $18 | 79¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
 Will Canva have the third highest private market valuation on September 30?Tech | No | $21 | 98¢ | 94¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?Tech | No | $17 | 81¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $14 | 72¢ | 87¢ | +$3 |
| Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $18 | 64¢ | 59¢ | -$1 |
 Will Neuralink have the highest private market valuation on September 30?Tech | No | $15 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $16 | 70¢ | 56¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | No | $14 | 14¢ | 12¢ | -$2 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $12 | 5.9¢ | 5.3¢ | -$1 |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | No | $9 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
| Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on September 30?Tech | No | $10 | 98¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $35 | 42¢ | 11¢ | -$26 |
 Will 7 or more people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 81¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |