← Whale Watch

haraya

Predicting since Apr 2025519 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $19K on Politics markets since Apr 2025.

Right now: $7.7K riding on Next James Bond actor?.

Biggest hit: +$8.4K on Will another pairing advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
No one announced as next James Bond?CultureYesResolved$7.7K77¢100¢+$2.3K
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?PoliticsNo$2.0K91¢100¢+$188
Will Marco Rubio attend NATO Summit?PoliticsYesResolved$1.5K96¢100¢+$67
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$100096¢100¢+$37
Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World CupYesResolved$55097¢100¢+$19
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$38582¢96¢+$68
Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World CupNoResolved$30095¢100¢+$17
Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?World CupNoResolved$27592¢100¢+$23
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$29098¢100¢+$7
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?PoliticsYesResolved$29099¢100¢+$3
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechNo$19436¢37¢+$5
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$11768¢100¢+$54
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?PoliticsNo$5377¢80¢+$2
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$3976¢96¢+$10
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?PoliticsNo$5382¢66¢-$10
McDonald's CEO out by June 30?CultureNoResolved$2791¢100¢+$3
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsYes$80085¢2.9¢-$772
Will Trump praise Mark Rutte by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1383¢100¢+$3
No one announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$17.7¢24¢+$3
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$8512¢0.0¢-$85
Will Ordinary by Alex Warren be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?CultureYesResolved$10010.0¢0.0¢-$100
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?PoliticsNoResolved$23017¢0.0¢-$230
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$57989¢0.0¢-$579
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$17489¢0.0¢-$174
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?CultureYesResolved$8934¢0.0¢-$89
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$30052¢0.0¢-$300
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?TechYesResolved$3.4K48¢0.0¢-$3.4K
Will Trump visit China by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$100094¢0.0¢-$1000
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?TechNoResolved$7244¢0.0¢-$72
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?PoliticsYesResolved$30073¢0.0¢-$300
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?TechNoResolved$25528¢0.0¢-$255
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$753.3¢0.0¢-$75
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 41°F or below on January 1?WeatherYesResolved$3995¢0.0¢-$39
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?TechNoResolved$1860¢0.0¢-$18
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?TechNoResolved$6734¢0.0¢-$67
Will Trump visit China by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3.4K79¢0.0¢-$3.4K
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on January 1?WeatherNoResolved$2095¢0.0¢-$20
Thailand strikes Cambodia by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$883¢0.0¢-$8
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$1908.3¢0.0¢-$190
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?PoliticsNoResolved$385¢0.0¢-$3
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$757.1¢0.0¢-$75

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$19K
Culture-$4.8K
Finance+$1.4K
Tech-$1.3K
Crypto+$697
Economy-$599
Other sports+$297
Olympics+$213
Mentions+$106
World Cup+$60
Weather-$14
Biggest hit
+$8.4K
Will another pairing advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?
Toughest beat
-$16K
Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Trump praise Mark Rutte by June 30?$131mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?$2901mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?$2761mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$3011mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$5511mo ago
  • Bought Yes · No one announced as next James Bond?$1.0K1mo ago
  • Bought Yes · No one announced as next James Bond?$21mo ago
  • Bought Yes · No one announced as next James Bond?$5021mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by September 30?$1.0K1mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$1991mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?$1181mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?$2901mo ago