haraya

Predicting since Apr 2025520 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $21K on Politics markets since Apr 2025.

Right now: $4.4K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$8.4K on Will another pairing advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
No one announced as next James Bond?Culture	Yes	$173	22¢	19¢	-$24
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics	No	$102	68¢	72¢	+$5
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics	YesResolved	$85	12¢	0.0¢	-$85
Will Ordinary by Alex Warren be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$100	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?Politics	NoResolved	$230	17¢	0.0¢	-$230
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$579	89¢	0.0¢	-$579
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$174	89¢	0.0¢	-$174
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?Culture	YesResolved	$89	34¢	0.0¢	-$89
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$300	52¢	0.0¢	-$300
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$3.4K	48¢	0.0¢	-$3.4K
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$1000	94¢	0.0¢	-$1000
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?Tech	NoResolved	$72	44¢	0.0¢	-$72
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Politics	YesResolved	$300	73¢	0.0¢	-$300
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Tech	NoResolved	$255	28¢	0.0¢	-$255
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?Tech	YesResolved	$75	3.3¢	0.0¢	-$75
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 41°F or below on January 1?Weather	YesResolved	$39	95¢	0.0¢	-$39
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?Tech	NoResolved	$18	60¢	0.0¢	-$18
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?Tech	NoResolved	$67	34¢	0.0¢	-$67
Will Trump visit China by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$3.4K	79¢	0.0¢	-$3.4K
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on January 1?Weather	NoResolved	$20	95¢	0.0¢	-$20
Thailand strikes Cambodia by December 31?Politics	NoResolved	$8	83¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?Tech	YesResolved	$190	8.3¢	0.0¢	-$190
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?Politics	NoResolved	$3	85¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Politics	YesResolved	$75	7.1¢	0.0¢	-$75

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$21K

Culture-$4.8K

Finance+$1.4K

Tech-$1.2K

Crypto+$697

Economy-$599

Other sports+$297

Olympics+$213

Mentions+$106

World Cup+$57

Weather-$14

Biggest hit

+$8.4K

Will another pairing advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?

Toughest beat

-$16K

Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?

Recent moves

Bought No · China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$10216d ago
Bought Yes · No one announced as next James Bond?$18016d ago
Sold No · Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1816d ago
Sold Yes · Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$1516d ago
Sold Yes · No one announced as next James Bond?$416d ago
Sold No · Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?$3316d ago
Sold No · Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$4816d ago
Sold No · Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?$4916d ago
Sold No · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$15316d ago
Sold No · Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$43816d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Trump praise Mark Rutte by June 30?$1616d ago
Cashed out No · McDonald's CEO out by June 30?$3016d ago