← Whale Watch

xiaohaio

Predicting since Apr 2026761 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoYes$470¢55¢-$1
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by December 31?TechNo$243¢40¢-$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$195¢97¢+$0
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?TennisNoResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Premier LeagueNoResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3eSports9zResolved$148¢0.0¢-$1
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's French Open?TennisYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?PoliticsNoResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?PoliticsYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?Soccer (other)NoResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?TechYesResolved$11.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?CultureYesResolved$326¢0.0¢-$3
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?TennisYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?FinanceNoResolved$1221¢0.0¢-$12
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier LeagueNoResolved$24.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?Champions LeagueNoResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo BerrettiniTennisJuan Manuel CerundoloResolved$522¢0.0¢-$5
Knicks vs. CavaliersNBACavaliersResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnereSportsKarmine CorpResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Hurricanes vs. CanadiensNHLCanadiensResolved$142¢0.0¢-$1
Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark?PoliticsYesResolved$19.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-09?BundesligaNoResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPoliticsYesResolved$1054¢0.0¢-$10
Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$14.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?BundesligaNoResolved$1020¢0.0¢-$10
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?PoliticsNoResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?PoliticsNoResolved$1133¢0.0¢-$11
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?World CupNoResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?PoliticsYesResolved$1024¢0.0¢-$10
Will Marcello Comanducci win the 2026 Arezzo mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$426¢0.0¢-$4
Will Russia enter Borova by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2eSportsGamerLegionResolved$462¢0.0¢-$4
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?NHLNoResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?TechYesResolved$214¢0.0¢-$2
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil TeichmannTennisJil TeichmannResolved$610¢0.0¢-$6
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?World CupNoResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Marina Bassols RiberaTennisMarina Bassols RiberaResolved$715¢0.0¢-$7
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?PoliticsYesResolved$328¢0.0¢-$3
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$13.7¢0.0¢-$1
Knicks vs. CavaliersNBACavaliersResolved$147¢0.0¢-$1
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?PoliticsYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?La LigaYesResolved$530¢0.0¢-$5
Will Ugo Humbert win the 2026 Men's French Open?TennisYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$174¢0.0¢-$1
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)eSportsSpiritResolved$662¢0.0¢-$6
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$130¢0.0¢-$1
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?Soccer (other)NoResolved$821¢0.0¢-$8
Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$646¢0.0¢-$6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?La LigaNoResolved$412¢0.0¢-$4
Will Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-25?BundesligaYesResolved$652¢0.0¢-$6
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?World CupNoResolved$14.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Premier LeagueNoResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will SSC Bari win on 2026-05-08?Soccer (other)NoResolved$360¢0.0¢-$3
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 WinnereSportsKT RolsterResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 WinnereSports9zResolved$153¢0.0¢-$1
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$364¢0.0¢-$3
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco ComesanaTennisFrancisco ComesanaResolved$632¢0.0¢-$6
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?World CupYesResolved$19.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open?TennisYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?World CupNoResolved$453¢0.0¢-$4
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2eSportsLegacyResolved$569¢0.0¢-$5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3eSportsG2Resolved$159¢0.0¢-$1
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$840¢0.0¢-$8
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2eSportsTYLOOResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?PoliticsYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?PoliticsNoResolved$616¢0.0¢-$6
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?PoliticsNoResolved$37.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?Premier LeagueNoResolved$236¢0.0¢-$2
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?TennisYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?CultureYesResolved$540¢0.0¢-$5
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?World CupYesResolved$11.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 10–15%?PoliticsYesResolved$013¢0.0¢-$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10?Soccer (other)NoResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsYesResolved$311¢0.0¢-$3
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?World CupYesResolved$554¢0.0¢-$5
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?Premier LeagueNoResolved$222¢0.0¢-$2
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$03.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier LeagueYesResolved$315¢0.0¢-$3
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$332¢0.0¢-$3
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?PoliticsNoResolved$142¢0.0¢-$1
UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)UFC / MMACameron SmothermanResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?TennisYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?PoliticsNoResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09?Soccer (other)NoResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?Premier LeagueYesResolved$320¢0.0¢-$3
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 PlayoffseSportsFaZeResolved$160¢0.0¢-$1
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$14.2¢0.0¢-$1
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group StageeSportsNRGResolved$162¢0.0¢-$1
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Formula 1NoResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?CultureNoResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

NBA+$35
Basketball (other)-$22
Tech+$22
UFC / MMA-$21
Culture-$21
Premier League-$16
Bundesliga-$16
Finance-$15
World Cup-$15
eSports-$14
MLB+$14
Crypto-$13
Biggest hit
+$64
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Toughest beat
-$12
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$023d ago
  • Sold No · Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$123d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?$123d ago
  • Sold No · Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?$225d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?$226d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?$126d ago
  • Sold No · Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$126d ago
  • Sold No · Trump out as President by June 30?$126d ago
  • Sold No · Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?$126d ago
  • Sold No · Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?$126d ago
  • Sold No · Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?$126d ago
  • Sold No · Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?$126d ago