← Whale Watch

0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657

Predicting since Oct 2025258 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.3K on Tech markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $637 across 2 Tech markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
AI bubble burst in 2026?TechNo$32676¢84¢+$36
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?TechNo$3049¢74¢+$14
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?TechNo$4557¢26¢-$24
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechNo$1515¢14¢-$1
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$66.3¢14¢+$7
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?TechYes$2363¢33¢-$11
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$986¢91¢+$0
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?TechNo$174¢90¢+$0
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$35685¢0.0¢-$356
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?CryptoYesResolved$3571¢0.0¢-$35
Will Google say "Anthropic" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$219¢0.0¢-$2
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$48283¢0.0¢-$482
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$52.0¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$520¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$51.0¢0.0¢-$5
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?TechNoResolved$22.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?TechNoResolved$32028¢0.0¢-$320
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?CryptoYesResolved$414¢0.0¢-$4
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?TechYesResolved$2652¢0.0¢-$26
GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?TechYesResolved$934¢0.0¢-$9
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$31744¢0.0¢-$317
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$208.6¢0.0¢-$20

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$1.3K
Politics+$255
Finance-$93
Crypto-$53
Mentions-$41
Culture+$12
Economy+$3
Formula 1+$0
NFL+$0
eSports+$0
Biggest hit
+$136
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Toughest beat
-$237
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$59d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$59d ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$39d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$19d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$512d ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$6612d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2612d ago
  • Sold No · Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$11720d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$19520d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$1724d ago
  • Cashed out No · Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?$10025d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$14925d ago