Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 0.5¢ | 3.8¢ | +$31 |
Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 0.5¢ | 0.5¢ | +$1 |
Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $12 | 0.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$4 |
Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 0.6¢ | 0.7¢ | +$1 |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 1.3¢ | 1.6¢ | +$1 |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.8¢ | -$0 |
Will Mistral be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$7 |
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 2.7¢ | 0.5¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 30?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 25?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 9.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 22?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 13?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 3?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 31?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 2?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on May 23?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 3?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 23?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28?Weather | YesResolved | $30 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 24?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 23, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 13?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $4 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 13?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 28?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 21?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 5?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 30?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 11?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 30?Weather | YesResolved | $8 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 21?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 16?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 14?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 31?Weather | YesResolved | $13 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 21, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 4?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Solana Up or Down - June 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 13?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 38°C on June 26?Weather | YesResolved | $18 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 8?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 22, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 20?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 27?Weather | YesResolved | $30 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 3?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 23?Weather | YesResolved | $13 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on May 21?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 29?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 30?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 22?Weather | YesResolved | $9 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 16?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on June 29?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 31?Weather | YesResolved | $30 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on June 27?Weather | YesResolved | $8 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 3?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 23?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 30?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 21?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 24?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 2?Weather | YesResolved | $24 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 11?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 11?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $4 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 23?Weather | YesResolved | $25 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 22?Weather | YesResolved | $28 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 29?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 14?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 6?Weather | YesResolved | $14 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 11?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 16?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 2?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 25?Weather | YesResolved | $8 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 17?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on May 29?Weather | YesResolved | $30 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 29, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 5?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 10?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 28?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 29?Weather | YesResolved | $12 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 29?Weather | YesResolved | $30 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 5?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 17?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $8 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 17?Weather | YesResolved | $40 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 25?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |