Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $633 | 27¢ | 39¢ | +$267 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $888 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $298 | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$40 |
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | Yes | $81 | 13¢ | 39¢ | +$162 |
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | Yes | $300 | 51¢ | 32¢ | -$116 |
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | Yes | $176 | 30¢ | 28¢ | -$16 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | No | $139 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | No | $122 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | No | $121 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | No | $119 | 91¢ | 88¢ | -$4 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $13 | 17¢ | 76¢ | +$48 |
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $41 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 17¢ | 20¢ | +$4 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $25 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
Will CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-08-10?Soccer (other) | Yes | $28 | 66¢ | 51¢ | -$7 |
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $8 | 17¢ | 44¢ | +$12 |
Will CDPJuniorFC vs. Deportivo Pereira end in a draw?Soccer (other) | Yes | $9 | 22¢ | 42¢ | +$8 |
Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $12 | 29¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $225 | 20¢ | 0.8¢ | -$217 |
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 40¢ | 82¢ | +$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $41 | 11¢ | 2.0¢ | -$34 |
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 3.1¢ | 25¢ | +$6 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 3.1¢ | 89¢ | +$5 |
Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-08-10?Soccer (other) | Yes | $4 | 8.5¢ | 10¢ | +$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 12?Weather | No | $4 | 74¢ | 75¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%?Politics | No | $3 | 56¢ | 72¢ | +$1 |
Will SPD win between 28% and 31% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $4 | 25¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $11 | 8.4¢ | 1.5¢ | -$9 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $261 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | -$259 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $2 | 66¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | No | $2 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $2 | 94¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 11?Weather | No | $2 | 12¢ | 9.5¢ | -$0 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 22¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 3.1¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $2 | 0.5¢ | 0.3¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $16 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $189 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$189 |
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $23 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C or below on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $24 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $16 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $11 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C or higher on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $24 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $24 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $19 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $12 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $13 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $26 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C or below on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $26 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $24 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $24 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $11 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-09-10?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $2 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $24 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $12 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $13 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $16 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |