← Whale Watch

Wordsmith

Predicting since Oct 2025268 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.3K on Politics markets since Oct 2025.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?CryptoYes$1817¢18¢+$0
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?CryptoYes$1627¢26¢-$1
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?CryptoYes$1240¢41¢+$0
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?TechYes$147.4¢6.5¢-$2
Will the Centre Party (C) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$80.1¢0.1¢+$4
Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$70.1¢0.1¢+$4
Will the Liberals (L) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$70.1¢0.1¢+$4
Base FDV above $5B one day after launch?CryptoYes$1137¢37¢-$0
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026?CryptoYes$109.5¢8.5¢-$1
Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?TechYes$99.5¢9.5¢-$0
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by October 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1111¢9.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$914¢14¢-$0
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?CryptoYes$928¢27¢-$0
Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?TechYes$98.8¢7.5¢-$1
Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?TechYes$99.3¢7.5¢-$2
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?TechYes$76.0¢6.5¢+$1
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by November 30, 2026?CryptoYes$711¢11¢-$0
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?TechYes$77.4¢6.5¢-$1
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?CryptoYes$716¢16¢-$0
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?TechYes$625¢24¢-$0
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?CryptoYes$614¢12¢-$1
Will the Left Party (V) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$30.1¢0.1¢+$1
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?TechYes$48.0¢8.0¢+$0
Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$30.1¢0.1¢+$1
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$20.1¢0.1¢+$1
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?TechYes$312¢13¢+$0
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?TechYes$313¢13¢-$0
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?TechYes$28.0¢8.0¢+$0
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by September 30, 2026?CryptoYes$210¢8.0¢-$0
Will Reppo launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$2230¢0.0¢-$22

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$1.3K
Crypto-$364
Tech-$72
Golf-$21
Weather-$5
Culture+$3
NFL-$1
Biggest hit
+$675
Will José María Balcazar be the next President of Peru?
Toughest beat
-$25
Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$04m ago
  • Bought Yes · Base FDV above $5B one day after launch?$1214m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$023m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$023m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$024m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$026m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?$630m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$051m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$01h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$01h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$01h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$02h ago