LooseMathematician

Predicting since Jul 202625 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics	No	$208	99¢	99¢	+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics	Yes	$148	51¢	51¢	+$1
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics	Yes	$100	90¢	100¢	+$11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics	No	$111	89¢	88¢	-$2
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Politics	No	$100	98¢	98¢	+$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$88	27¢	27¢	-$0
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics	Yes	$63	58¢	60¢	+$2
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Politics	No	$51	83¢	85¢	+$1
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Politics	Yes	$52	50¢	50¢	-$0
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics	No	$41	81¢	84¢	+$2
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$34	45¢	41¢	-$3
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	Yes	$27	20¢	22¢	+$2
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics	Yes	$27	43¢	36¢	-$4
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto	No	$15	41¢	51¢	+$4
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Politics	No	$17	85¢	88¢	+$1
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?Politics	No	$11	100¢	100¢	+$0
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy	Yes	$8	54¢	73¢	+$3
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics	Yes	$10	27¢	27¢	-$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$6	69¢	68¢	-$0
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?Mentions	NoResolved	$16	17¢	0.0¢	-$16

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$116

Mentions-$16

Crypto+$4

Economy+$3

Biggest hit

+$112

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Toughest beat

-$9

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$1002h ago
Bought No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1003h ago
Bought No · Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?$1003h ago
Bought Yes · Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$74h ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$815h ago
Sold No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1945h ago
Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$935h ago
Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$465h ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$646h ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$536h ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1006h ago
Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1006h ago